Open Pop Culture Polymarket

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

Top outcomes

Uganda 100%
South Sudan 62%
Kenya 58%
Ethiopia 53%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

$29K Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$28.9k Vol.

All outcomes

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$29K Vol.

Uganda

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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South Sudan

62% market probability

62%

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0 / 2,000

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Kenya

58% market probability

58%

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0 / 2,000

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Ethiopia

53% market probability

53%

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0 / 2,000

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Canada

42% market probability

42%

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0 / 2,000

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Burundi

36% market probability

36%

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0 / 2,000

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Somalia

36% market probability

36%

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0 / 2,000

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Rwanda

33% market probability

33%

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0 / 2,000

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India

30% market probability

30%

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0 / 2,000

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United States

28% market probability

28%

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0 / 2,000

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China

26% market probability

26%

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0 / 2,000

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Nigeria

22% market probability

22%

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0 / 2,000

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Republic of the Congo

16% market probability

16%

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0 / 2,000

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