Open Pop Culture Polymarket

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

Top outcomes

Kenya 100%
Uganda 100%
Nigeria 48%
Somalia 38%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

$68K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2027

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$67.7k Vol.

All outcomes

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$68K Vol.

Kenya

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Uganda

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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Nigeria

48% market probability

48%

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0 / 2,000

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Somalia

38% market probability

38%

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0 / 2,000

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South Sudan

27% market probability

27%

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0 / 2,000

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Republic of the Congo

22% market probability

22%

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0 / 2,000

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Rwanda

20% market probability

20%

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0 / 2,000

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Burundi

16% market probability

16%

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0 / 2,000

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United States

15% market probability

15%

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0 / 2,000

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India

14% market probability

14%

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0 / 2,000

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China

12% market probability

12%

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0 / 2,000

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Canada

12% market probability

12%

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0 / 2,000

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Ethiopia

8% market probability

8%

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0 / 2,000

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