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Resolved Pop Culture Polymarket

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

Top outcomes

Uganda 100%

South Sudan 66%

Kenya 59%

Rwanda 59%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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$15K Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

Resolved outcome: Uganda

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$14.8k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$15K Vol.

Uganda

100% market probability

100%

Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

South Sudan

66% market probability

66%

Yes 66% +34 / −66 No 34% +66 / −34

Kenya

59% market probability

59%

Yes 59% +41 / −59 No 41% +59 / −41

Rwanda

59% market probability

59%

Yes 59% +41 / −59 No 41% +59 / −41

Burundi

50% market probability

50%

Yes 50% +50 / −50 No 50% +50 / −50

Ethiopia

38% market probability

38%

Yes 38% +62 / −38 No 62% +38 / −62

Nigeria

33% market probability

33%

Yes 33% +67 / −33 No 67% +33 / −67

United States

32% market probability

32%

Yes 32% +68 / −32 No 68% +32 / −68

China

32% market probability

32%

Yes 32% +68 / −32 No 68% +32 / −68

India

26% market probability

26%

Yes 26% +74 / −26 No 74% +26 / −74

Canada

26% market probability

26%

Yes 26% +74 / −26 No 74% +26 / −74

Somalia

26% market probability

26%

Yes 26% +74 / −26 No 74% +26 / −74

Republic of the Congo

24% market probability

24%

Yes 24% +76 / −24 No 76% +24 / −76

Forecasts are closed for this market.

Public forecast history

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No forecasts were placed before this market closed.