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What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
Top outcomes
Mr. Speaker 10+ times
100%
NHS
100%
Police
100%
Reform
100%
Keir Starmer is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Keir Starmer titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/keir-starmer/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
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$17K Vol.
Closes Jun 11, 2026
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$16.5k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$17K Vol.
Mr. Speaker 10+ times
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
NHS
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on NHS
Explain your No on NHS
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Police
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Police
Explain your No on Police
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Reform
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Reform
Explain your No on Reform
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Defense
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Defense
Explain your No on Defense
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ukraine
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Ukraine
Explain your No on Ukraine
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Investment
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Investment
Explain your No on Investment
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Victim
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Victim
Explain your No on Victim
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Mr. Speaker 20+ times
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 1%
+99 / −1
Explain your Yes on Mr. Speaker 20+ times
Explain your No on Mr. Speaker 20+ times
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Mr. Speaker 30+ times
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 1%
+99 / −1
Explain your Yes on Mr. Speaker 30+ times
Explain your No on Mr. Speaker 30+ times
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Poverty
75% market probability
75%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 75%
+25 / −75
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 25%
+75 / −25
Explain your Yes on Poverty
Explain your No on Poverty
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Kid
47% market probability
47%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 47%
+53 / −47
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 53%
+47 / −53
Explain your Yes on Kid
Explain your No on Kid
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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United States
47% market probability
47%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 47%
+53 / −47
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 53%
+47 / −53
Explain your Yes on United States
Explain your No on United States
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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King / Queen
45% market probability
45%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 45%
+55 / −45
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 55%
+45 / −55
Explain your Yes on King / Queen
Explain your No on King / Queen
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Muslim
44% market probability
44%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 44%
+56 / −44
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 55%
+45 / −55
Explain your Yes on Muslim
Explain your No on Muslim
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Apologize
42% market probability
42%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 42%
+58 / −42
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 58%
+42 / −58
Explain your Yes on Apologize
Explain your No on Apologize
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Transportation / Transport
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on Transportation / Transport
Explain your No on Transportation / Transport
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sport
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on Sport
Explain your No on Sport
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Public School
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Public School
Explain your No on Public School
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Constituent / Constituency
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Constituent / Constituency
Explain your No on Constituent / Constituency
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Urgent
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Urgent
Explain your No on Urgent
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Trump
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Trump
Explain your No on Trump
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Public Health
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Public Health
Explain your No on Public Health
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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European Union
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on European Union
Explain your No on European Union
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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