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What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?
Top outcomes
72 Hours
84%
Other
50%
Movie A
50%
Movie B
50%
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).
This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie.
The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
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$17K Vol.
Closes Jul 28, 2026
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$16.5k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$17K Vol.
72 Hours
84% market probability
84%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 84%
+16 / −84
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 16%
+84 / −16
Other
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Other
Explain your No on Other
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Movie A
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Movie A
Explain your No on Movie A
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Movie B
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Movie B
Explain your No on Movie B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Movie C
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Movie C
Explain your No on Movie C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Movie D
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Movie D
Explain your No on Movie D
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Movie E
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Movie E
Explain your No on Movie E
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Movie F
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Movie F
Explain your No on Movie F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Movie G
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Movie G
Explain your No on Movie G
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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A Toxic Love Story
16% market probability
16%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 16%
+84 / −16
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 84%
+16 / −84
Explain your Yes on A Toxic Love Story
Explain your No on A Toxic Love Story
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Desire
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Desire
Explain your No on Desire
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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KPop Demon Hunters
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on KPop Demon Hunters
Explain your No on KPop Demon Hunters
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Scream
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Scream
Explain your No on Scream
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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The Boss Baby
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on The Boss Baby
Explain your No on The Boss Baby
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Wicked: For Good
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Wicked: For Good
Explain your No on Wicked: For Good
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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The Body in the Locker
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on The Body in the Locker
Explain your No on The Body in the Locker
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Voicemails for Isabelle
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Voicemails for Isabelle
Explain your No on Voicemails for Isabelle
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea
Explain your No on Shipwrecked: Nightmare at Sea
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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