Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? Fed Decision in July? Iran leader end of 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? US military action against Cuba by...? Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 Xi Jinping out before 2027? Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Which party will win the House in 2026? MLS Cup Winner 2026 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...? Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch? Netanyahu out by...? MLB: 2026 American League Champion Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Israel closes its airspace by...?
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? Fed Decision in July? Iran leader end of 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? US military action against Cuba by...? Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 Xi Jinping out before 2027? Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Which party will win the House in 2026? MLS Cup Winner 2026 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...? Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch? Netanyahu out by...? MLB: 2026 American League Champion Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Israel closes its airspace by...?
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UT-03 Republican Primary Winner

Top outcomes

Celeste Maloy 99%
Other 50%
Candidate A 50%
Candidate B 50%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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$108K Vol. Closes Jun 24, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$108.4k Vol.

All outcomes

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$108K Vol.

Celeste Maloy

99% market probability

99%

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0 / 2,000

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Other

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate A

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate B

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate C

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate D

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate E

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate F

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate G

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate H

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate I

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Candidate J

50% market probability

50%

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0 / 2,000

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Phil Lyman

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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