Open Economy Polymarket

UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?

Top outcomes

0.2–0.3% 33%
0.4–0.5% 24%
0.6–0.7% 18%
0.0–0.1% 15%

This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q2 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP Second quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for August 12, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

$15K Vol. Closes Aug 12, 2026

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$14.9k Vol.

All outcomes

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$15K Vol.

0.2–0.3%

33% market probability

33%

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0 / 2,000

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0.4–0.5%

24% market probability

24%

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0 / 2,000

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0.6–0.7%

18% market probability

18%

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0 / 2,000

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0.0–0.1%

15% market probability

15%

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0 / 2,000

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Negative

8% market probability

8%

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0 / 2,000

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1.0%+

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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0.8–0.9%

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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