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UEFA Champions League: Team to Finish Top 8 in League Phase
Top outcomes
Real Madrid
87%
Barcelona
80%
Paris Saint-Germain
76%
Arsenal
74%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in the top 8 of the final league phase standings of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only matches played in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League will be considered. Qualifying rounds, the knockout phase play-offs, and all knockout rounds will not be considered.
If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in the top 8 of the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from doing so), this market will immediately resolve to "No".
If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or is not completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If a listed club does not participate in, withdraws from, or is expelled from the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League league phase, its market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$38K Vol.
Closes Feb 28, 2027
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$38.0k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$38K Vol.
Real Madrid
87% market probability
87%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 87%
+13 / −87
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 13%
+87 / −13
Barcelona
80% market probability
80%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 80%
+20 / −80
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 20%
+80 / −20
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Paris Saint-Germain
76% market probability
76%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 76%
+24 / −76
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 24%
+76 / −24
Explain your Yes on Paris Saint-Germain
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Arsenal
74% market probability
74%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 74%
+26 / −74
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 26%
+74 / −26
Explain your Yes on Arsenal
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Liverpool
66% market probability
66%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 66%
+34 / −66
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 34%
+66 / −34
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Bayern Munich
64% market probability
64%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 64%
+36 / −64
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 36%
+64 / −36
Explain your Yes on Bayern Munich
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Manchester City
52% market probability
52%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 52%
+48 / −52
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 48%
+52 / −48
Explain your Yes on Manchester City
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Aston Villa
38% market probability
38%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 38%
+62 / −38
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 62%
+38 / −62
Explain your Yes on Aston Villa
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Atlético Madrid
34% market probability
34%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 34%
+66 / −34
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 66%
+34 / −66
Explain your Yes on Atlético Madrid
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sporting CP
33% market probability
33%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 33%
+67 / −33
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 67%
+33 / −67
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Real Betis
32% market probability
32%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 32%
+68 / −32
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 68%
+32 / −68
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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VfB Stuttgart
28% market probability
28%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 28%
+72 / −28
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 72%
+28 / −72
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Manchester United
22% market probability
22%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 22%
+78 / −22
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 78%
+22 / −78
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Borussia Dortmund
19% market probability
19%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 19%
+81 / −19
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 81%
+19 / −81
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Inter Milan
18% market probability
18%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 18%
+82 / −18
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 82%
+18 / −82
Explain your Yes on Inter Milan
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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RB Leipzig
15% market probability
15%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 15%
+85 / −15
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 85%
+15 / −85
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Villarreal
14% market probability
14%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 14%
+86 / −14
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 86%
+14 / −86
Explain your Yes on Villarreal
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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PSV Eindhoven
14% market probability
14%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 14%
+86 / −14
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 86%
+14 / −86
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Como
11% market probability
11%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 11%
+89 / −11
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 89%
+11 / −89
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0 / 2,000
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Porto
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Roma
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Feyenoord
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Bodø/Glimt
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lens
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Club Brugge
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Napoli
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lille
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Fenerbahçe
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Shakhtar Donetsk
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Slovan Bratislava
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sabah
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
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0 / 2,000
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LASK
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Slavia Prague
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Slavia Prague
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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AEK Athens
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on AEK Athens
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Viking
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Galatasaray
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-35']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-35']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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