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Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Top outcomes
Sweden Democrats (SD)
75%
Moderate Party (M)
21%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
1%
Liberals (L)
0%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
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$61K Vol.
Closes Sep 13, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$61.5k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$61K Vol.
Sweden Democrats (SD)
75% market probability
75%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 75%
+25 / −75
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 25%
+75 / −25
Moderate Party (M)
21% market probability
21%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 21%
+79 / −21
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 79%
+21 / −79
Explain your Yes on Moderate Party (M)
Explain your No on Moderate Party (M)
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
Explain your No on Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Liberals (L)
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Liberals (L)
Explain your No on Liberals (L)
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Left Party (V)
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Left Party (V)
Explain your No on Left Party (V)
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Centre Party (C)
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Centre Party (C)
Explain your No on Centre Party (C)
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Green Party (MP)
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Green Party (MP)
Explain your No on Green Party (MP)
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Christian Democrats (KD)
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Christian Democrats (KD)
Explain your No on Christian Democrats (KD)
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Citizens' Coalition (MED)
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Citizens' Coalition (MED)
Explain your No on Citizens' Coalition (MED)
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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