Open Pop Culture Polymarket

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office

Top outcomes

260-280m 36%
240-260m 22%
220-240m 14%
200-220m 8%

This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

$31K Vol. Closes Aug 2, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$30.8k Vol.

All outcomes

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$31K Vol.

260-280m

36% market probability

36%

Explain your Yes on 260-280m Explain your No on 260-280m (optional)

0 / 2,000

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240-260m

22% market probability

22%

Explain your Yes on 240-260m Explain your No on 240-260m (optional)

0 / 2,000

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220-240m

14% market probability

14%

Explain your Yes on 220-240m Explain your No on 220-240m (optional)

0 / 2,000

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200-220m

8% market probability

8%

Explain your Yes on 200-220m Explain your No on 200-220m (optional)

0 / 2,000

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<200m

7% market probability

7%

Explain your Yes on <200m Explain your No on <200m (optional)

0 / 2,000

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>280m

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on >280m Explain your No on >280m (optional)

0 / 2,000

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