Open
Polymarket
Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner
Top outcomes
Fatima Shaban
86%
Other
50%
Person A
50%
Person B
50%
A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
Read more
Show less
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
Open on Polymarket ↗
The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.
$71.3k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$71K Vol.
Fatima Shaban
86% market probability
86%
Yes 86%
+14 / −86
No 14%
+86 / −14
Other
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person A
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person B
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person C
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person D
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person E
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person F
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person G
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person H
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person I
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person J
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person K
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person L
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person M
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person N
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person O
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person P
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person Q
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person R
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person S
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person T
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person U
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Ahsanul Hafiz
6% market probability
6%
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
No 94%
+6 / −94
Noor Tarun
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Mark Bekkering
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Chris Rees
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Public forecast history
All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.
No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.
