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Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner
Top outcomes
Anne Hathaway
55%
Other
50%
Actress E
50%
Actress F
50%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$35K Vol.
Closes Jul 1, 2027
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$34.9k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$35K Vol.
Anne Hathaway
55% market probability
55%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 55%
+45 / −55
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 45%
+55 / −45
Other
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Other
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress E
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Actress E
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress F
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress G
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress H
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress I
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress J
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress K
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress L
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress M
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress N
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress O
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress P
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress Q
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress R
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress S
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress T
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress U
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress V
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress W
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress X
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress Y
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress Z
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Actress Z
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress AA
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Actress AA
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress AB
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Actress AB
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress AC
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress AD
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress AE
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Actress AE
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress AF
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Actress AF
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress AG
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Actress AG
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress AH
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Actress AH
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress AI
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress AJ
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Actress AJ
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress AK
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Actress AK
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress AL
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-35']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-35']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Actress AL
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress AM
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-36']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-36']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress AN
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-37']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-37']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Actress AN
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress AO
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-38']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-38']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress AP
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-39']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-39']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Penélope Cruz
18% market probability
18%
$refs['reasoning-40']?.focus())"
>
Yes 18%
+82 / −18
$refs['reasoning-40']?.focus())"
>
No 82%
+18 / −82
Explain your Yes on Penélope Cruz
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Samantha Morton
11% market probability
11%
$refs['reasoning-41']?.focus())"
>
Yes 11%
+89 / −11
$refs['reasoning-41']?.focus())"
>
No 89%
+11 / −89
Explain your Yes on Samantha Morton
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Amanda Seyfried
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-42']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-42']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Amanda Seyfried
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Betty Gilpin
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-43']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-43']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Betty Gilpin
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Mariana di Girolamo
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-44']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-44']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
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0 / 2,000
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Tao Okamoto
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-45']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-45']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Tao Okamoto
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0 / 2,000
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Zendaya
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-46']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-46']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Zendaya
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0 / 2,000
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Sandra Hüller
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-47']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-47']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Sandra Hüller
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Kate O'Flynn
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-48']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-48']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Kate O'Flynn
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0 / 2,000
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Inde Navarrette
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-49']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-49']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Gemma Chan
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-50']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-50']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Gemma Chan
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Margaret Qualley
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-51']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-51']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Margaret Qualley
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Danielle Deadwyler
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-52']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-52']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Olivia Colman
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-53']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-53']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Olivia Colman
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Isabella Rossellini
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-54']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-54']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Parker Posey
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-55']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-55']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
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0 / 2,000
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