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Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner
Top outcomes
The Black Ball
72%
Other
50%
Movie A
50%
Movie B
50%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$45K Vol.
Closes Mar 14, 2027
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$45.3k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$45K Vol.
The Black Ball
72% market probability
72%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 72%
+28 / −72
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 28%
+72 / −28
Other
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Other
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Movie A
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Movie A
Explain your No on Movie A
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Movie B
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Movie B
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Movie C
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Movie C
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Movie D
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Movie D
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Movie E
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Movie E
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Movie F
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Movie F
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Movie G
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Movie H
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Movie H
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Movie I
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Movie J
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Movie K
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Movie L
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Movie M
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Movie M
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Movie N
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Movie N
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Movie O
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Movie O
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Movie P
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Movie Q
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Movie Q
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Movie R
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Movie S
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Movie S
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Movie T
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Movie T
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Movie U
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Movie U
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Movie V
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Movie V
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Movie W
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Movie W
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Movie X
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Movie X
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Movie Y
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Movie Z
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Movie Z
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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All of a Sudden
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Possible Love
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on Possible Love
Explain your No on Possible Love
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Fjord
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Fjord
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Fatherland
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Fatherland
Explain your No on Fatherland
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Minotaur
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Minotaur
Explain your No on Minotaur
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Rose
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Rose
Explain your No on Rose
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Parallel Tales
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Parallel Tales
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Hope
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-35']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-35']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Hope
Explain your No on Hope
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Coward
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-36']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-36']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Coward
Explain your No on Coward
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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The Beloved
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-37']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-37']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on The Beloved
Explain your No on The Beloved
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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The Man I Love
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-38']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-38']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on The Man I Love
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Bitter Christmas
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-39']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-39']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Bitter Christmas
Explain your No on Bitter Christmas
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sheep in the Box
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-40']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-40']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Sheep in the Box
Explain your No on Sheep in the Box
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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The Dreamed Adventure
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-41']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-41']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on The Dreamed Adventure
Explain your No on The Dreamed Adventure
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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