Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026? Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...? Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Elon Musk # tweets June 16 - June 23, 2026? Israel closes its airspace by...? Iran leader end of 2026? Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? F1 Drivers' Champion MLB: 2026 American League Champion Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion 2026 Women's Wimbledon Winner Xi Jinping out before 2027? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026? Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...? Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Elon Musk # tweets June 16 - June 23, 2026? Israel closes its airspace by...? Iran leader end of 2026? Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? F1 Drivers' Champion MLB: 2026 American League Champion Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion 2026 Women's Wimbledon Winner Xi Jinping out before 2027? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
Open Polymarket

NY-17 Democratic Primary Winner

Top outcomes

Cait Conley 90%
Beth Davidson 10%
Effie Phillips-Staley 0%
Mike Sacks 0%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

View on Polymarket
$143K Vol. Closes Jun 23, 2026

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

Open on Polymarket ↗

The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.

$143.0k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$143K Vol.

Cait Conley

90% market probability

90%

Explain your Yes on Cait Conley Explain your No on Cait Conley (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Beth Davidson

10% market probability

10%

Explain your Yes on Beth Davidson Explain your No on Beth Davidson (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Effie Phillips-Staley

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Effie Phillips-Staley Explain your No on Effie Phillips-Staley (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Mike Sacks

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Mike Sacks Explain your No on Mike Sacks (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

John Cappello

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on John Cappello Explain your No on John Cappello (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

John Sullivan

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on John Sullivan Explain your No on John Sullivan (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Peter Chatzky

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Peter Chatzky Explain your No on Peter Chatzky (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Jessica Reinmann

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Jessica Reinmann Explain your No on Jessica Reinmann (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.