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Brazil Presidential Election Largest Company end of December 2026? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Venezuela leader end of 2026? Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Trump out as President by June 30? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...? Next French Presidential Election F1 Constructors' Champion Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? US strike on Mexico by...? Starmer out by...? F1 Drivers' Champion Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? US military action against Cuba by...?
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NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner

Top outcomes

Micah Lasher 64%
Alex Bores 38%
Jack Schlossberg 1%
Lina Khan 0%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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$430K Vol. Closes Jun 23, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$430.0k Vol.

All outcomes

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$430K Vol.

Micah Lasher

64% market probability

64%

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0 / 2,000

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Alex Bores

38% market probability

38%

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0 / 2,000

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Jack Schlossberg

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Lina Khan

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Brad Lander

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Gale Brewer

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Julie Menin

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Liam Elkind

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Liz Krueger

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Andrew Cuomo

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Keith Powers

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Cameron Kasky

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Cynthia Nixon

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Erik Bottcher

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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George Conway

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Scott Stringer

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Carolyn Maloney

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Chelsea Clinton

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Brad Hoylman-Sigal

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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