Resolved Polymarket

NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner

Top outcomes

Micah Lasher 100%
Brad Lander 0%
George Conway 0%
Scott Stringer 0%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

$852K Vol. Closed Jun 23, 2026
Resolved outcome: Micah Lasher

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All outcomes

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$852K Vol.

Micah Lasher

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Brad Lander

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

George Conway

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Scott Stringer

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Jack Schlossberg

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Lina Khan

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Alex Bores

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Candidate B

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Candidate C

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Candidate D

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Candidate E

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Candidate F

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Candidate G

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Candidate H

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Candidate I

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Candidate J

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Candidate M

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Candidate N

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Candidate P

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Gale Brewer

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Julie Menin

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Liam Elkind

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Liz Krueger

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Andrew Cuomo

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Keith Powers

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Cameron Kasky

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Cynthia Nixon

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Erik Bottcher

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Carolyn Maloney

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Chelsea Clinton

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Brad Hoylman-Sigal

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
Forecasts are closed because this event has already started.

Public forecast history

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TheBagHodler 💎 · Verified record
Forecast Micah Lasher · Polymarket 66% · +34/−66

✓ Correct forecast

Correct

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