Resolved
Polymarket
NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner
Top outcomes
Micah Lasher
100%
Brad Lander
0%
George Conway
0%
Scott Stringer
0%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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$852K Vol.
Closed Jun 23, 2026
Resolved outcome: Micah Lasher
The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$852K Vol.
Micah Lasher
100% market probability
100%
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
No 0%
+100 / −0
Brad Lander
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
George Conway
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Scott Stringer
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Jack Schlossberg
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Lina Khan
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Alex Bores
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Candidate B
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Candidate C
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Candidate D
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Candidate E
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Candidate F
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Candidate G
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Candidate H
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Candidate I
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Candidate J
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Candidate M
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Candidate N
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Candidate P
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Gale Brewer
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Julie Menin
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Liam Elkind
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Liz Krueger
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Andrew Cuomo
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Keith Powers
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Cameron Kasky
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Cynthia Nixon
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Erik Bottcher
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Carolyn Maloney
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Chelsea Clinton
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Brad Hoylman-Sigal
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Forecasts are closed because this event has already started.
Public forecast history
All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.
Forecast
Micah Lasher
· Polymarket 66%
· +34 /−66
✓ Correct forecast
Correct
Discussion
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