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MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)
Top outcomes
Other
50%
Team A
50%
Team B
50%
Team C
50%
This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.
If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$663K Vol.
Closes Oct 11, 2026
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$663.0k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$663K Vol.
Other
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Team A
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Team A
Explain your No on Team A
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Team B
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Team B
Explain your No on Team B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Team C
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Team C
Explain your No on Team C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Team D
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Team D
Explain your No on Team D
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Team E
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Team E
Explain your No on Team E
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Cleveland Guardians
37% market probability
37%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 37%
+63 / −37
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 63%
+37 / −63
Explain your Yes on Cleveland Guardians
Explain your No on Cleveland Guardians
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Washington Nationals
37% market probability
37%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 37%
+63 / −37
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 63%
+37 / −63
Explain your Yes on Washington Nationals
Explain your No on Washington Nationals
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Atlanta Braves
37% market probability
37%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 37%
+63 / −37
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 63%
+37 / −63
Explain your Yes on Atlanta Braves
Explain your No on Atlanta Braves
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Baltimore Orioles
37% market probability
37%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 37%
+63 / −37
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 63%
+37 / −63
Explain your Yes on Baltimore Orioles
Explain your No on Baltimore Orioles
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Chicago White Sox
37% market probability
37%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 37%
+63 / −37
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 63%
+37 / −63
Explain your Yes on Chicago White Sox
Explain your No on Chicago White Sox
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Milwaukee Brewers
37% market probability
37%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 37%
+63 / −37
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 63%
+37 / −63
Explain your Yes on Milwaukee Brewers
Explain your No on Milwaukee Brewers
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Toronto Blue Jays
37% market probability
37%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 37%
+63 / −37
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 63%
+37 / −63
Explain your Yes on Toronto Blue Jays
Explain your No on Toronto Blue Jays
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Pittsburgh Pirates
37% market probability
37%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 37%
+63 / −37
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 63%
+37 / −63
Explain your Yes on Pittsburgh Pirates
Explain your No on Pittsburgh Pirates
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Miami Marlins
37% market probability
37%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 37%
+63 / −37
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 63%
+37 / −63
Explain your Yes on Miami Marlins
Explain your No on Miami Marlins
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Cincinnati Reds
36% market probability
36%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 36%
+64 / −36
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 64%
+36 / −64
Explain your Yes on Cincinnati Reds
Explain your No on Cincinnati Reds
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Arizona Diamondbacks
35% market probability
35%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 35%
+65 / −35
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 65%
+35 / −65
Explain your Yes on Arizona Diamondbacks
Explain your No on Arizona Diamondbacks
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Seattle Mariners
31% market probability
31%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 31%
+69 / −31
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 69%
+31 / −69
Explain your Yes on Seattle Mariners
Explain your No on Seattle Mariners
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Houston Astros
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on Houston Astros
Explain your No on Houston Astros
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Los Angeles Dodgers
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Los Angeles Dodgers
Explain your No on Los Angeles Dodgers
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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New York Yankees
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on New York Yankees
Explain your No on New York Yankees
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Texas Rangers
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Texas Rangers
Explain your No on Texas Rangers
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Tampa Bay Rays
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Tampa Bay Rays
Explain your No on Tampa Bay Rays
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Kansas City Royals
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Kansas City Royals
Explain your No on Kansas City Royals
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Los Angeles Angels
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Los Angeles Angels
Explain your No on Los Angeles Angels
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Chicago Cubs
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Chicago Cubs
Explain your No on Chicago Cubs
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Colorado Rockies
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Colorado Rockies
Explain your No on Colorado Rockies
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Minnesota Twins
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Minnesota Twins
Explain your No on Minnesota Twins
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Boston Red Sox
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Boston Red Sox
Explain your No on Boston Red Sox
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Philadelphia Phillies
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Philadelphia Phillies
Explain your No on Philadelphia Phillies
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Detroit Tigers
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Detroit Tigers
Explain your No on Detroit Tigers
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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St. Louis Cardinals
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on St. Louis Cardinals
Explain your No on St. Louis Cardinals
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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San Diego Padres
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on San Diego Padres
Explain your No on San Diego Padres
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Athletics
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Athletics
Explain your No on Athletics
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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New York Mets
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on New York Mets
Explain your No on New York Mets
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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San Francisco Giants
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-35']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-35']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on San Francisco Giants
Explain your No on San Francisco Giants
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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