Forecasts closed Polymarket

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 14?

Top outcomes

28°C 60%
27°C 27%
26°C 9%
25°C 2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

$31K Vol. Closed Jun 14, 2026

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$30.9k Vol.

All outcomes

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$31K Vol.

28°C

60% market probability

60%
Yes 60% +40 / −60 No 40% +60 / −40

27°C

27% market probability

27%
Yes 27% +73 / −27 No 73% +27 / −73

26°C

9% market probability

9%
Yes 9% +91 / −9 No 91% +9 / −91

25°C

2% market probability

2%
Yes 2% +98 / −2 No 98% +2 / −98

24°C

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

23°C

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

29°C

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

30°C

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

31°C

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

22°C or below

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

32°C or higher

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
Forecasts are closed because this market is no longer accepting forecasts.

Public forecast history

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No forecasts were placed before this market closed.