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Kazakhstan Kurultai Election: 2nd Place
Top outcomes
Auyl
52%
Other
50%
Party A
50%
Party B
50%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Kurultai of Kazakhstan are scheduled to take place on August 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the Kurultai of Kazakhstan as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Kazakh government.
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$38K Vol.
Closes Aug 23, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$38.2k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$38K Vol.
Auyl
52% market probability
52%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 52%
+48 / −52
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 48%
+52 / −48
Other
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Other
Explain your No on Other
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party A
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party A
Explain your No on Party A
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party B
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party B
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party C
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party C
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party D
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party D
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party E
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party E
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party F
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party F
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party G
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party G
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party H
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party H
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party I
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party J
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party J
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party K
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party L
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party L
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party M
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party M
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party N
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party N
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party O
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party O
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party P
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party P
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party Q
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party Q
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party R
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party S
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party S
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party T
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party T
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party U
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party U
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party V
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party V
Explain your No on Party V
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party W
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party W
Explain your No on Party W
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party X
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party X
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party Y
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party Y
Explain your No on Party Y
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Party Z
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Party Z
Explain your No on Party Z
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Aq Jol
24% market probability
24%
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
Yes 24%
+76 / −24
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
No 76%
+24 / −76
Explain your Yes on Aq Jol
Explain your No on Aq Jol
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Respublica
20% market probability
20%
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
Yes 20%
+80 / −20
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
No 80%
+20 / −80
Explain your Yes on Respublica
Explain your No on Respublica
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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QHP
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on QHP
Explain your No on QHP
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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JSDP
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on JSDP
Explain your No on JSDP
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Adilet
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Adilet
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Baytaq
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Baytaq
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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