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Honda Indy 200 at Mid-Ohio: Pole Position
Top outcomes
Patricio O'Ward
45%
Ed Carpenter
44%
Dennis Hauger
44%
David Malukas
44%
This is a Polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the Honda Indy 200 at Mid-Ohio, scheduled for Jul 4, 2026.
If the Honda Indy 200 at Mid-Ohio is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by IndyCar as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the Honda Indy 200 at Mid-Ohio. The market will be settled based on IndyCar's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to "Yes" for that driver.
The resolution source will be the official IndyCar website (indycar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
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Closes Jul 11, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$0 Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
Patricio O'Ward
45% market probability
45%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 45%
+55 / −45
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 55%
+45 / −55
Ed Carpenter
44% market probability
44%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 44%
+56 / −44
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 55%
+45 / −55
Explain your Yes on Ed Carpenter
Explain your No on Ed Carpenter
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Dennis Hauger
44% market probability
44%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 44%
+56 / −44
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 55%
+45 / −55
Explain your Yes on Dennis Hauger
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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David Malukas
44% market probability
44%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 44%
+56 / −44
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 56%
+44 / −56
Explain your Yes on David Malukas
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0 / 2,000
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Romain Grosjean
44% market probability
44%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 44%
+56 / −44
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 56%
+44 / −56
Explain your Yes on Romain Grosjean
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0 / 2,000
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Helio Castroneves
44% market probability
44%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 44%
+56 / −44
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 56%
+44 / −56
Explain your Yes on Helio Castroneves
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0 / 2,000
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Alex Palou
43% market probability
43%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 43%
+57 / −43
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 57%
+43 / −57
Explain your Yes on Alex Palou
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0 / 2,000
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Louis Foster
43% market probability
43%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 43%
+57 / −43
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 57%
+43 / −57
Explain your Yes on Louis Foster
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0 / 2,000
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Sting Robb
42% market probability
42%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 42%
+58 / −42
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 57%
+43 / −57
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0 / 2,000
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Rinus Veekay
42% market probability
42%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 42%
+58 / −42
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 57%
+43 / −57
Explain your Yes on Rinus Veekay
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0 / 2,000
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Jacob Abel
42% market probability
42%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 42%
+58 / −42
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 58%
+42 / −58
Explain your Yes on Jacob Abel
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0 / 2,000
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Nolan Siegel
42% market probability
42%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 42%
+58 / −42
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 58%
+42 / −58
Explain your Yes on Nolan Siegel
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0 / 2,000
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Scott McLaughlin
42% market probability
42%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 42%
+58 / −42
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 58%
+42 / −58
Explain your Yes on Scott McLaughlin
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0 / 2,000
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Felix Rosenqvist
42% market probability
42%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 42%
+58 / −42
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 58%
+42 / −58
Explain your Yes on Felix Rosenqvist
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0 / 2,000
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Christian Lundgaard
42% market probability
42%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 42%
+58 / −42
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 58%
+42 / −58
Explain your Yes on Christian Lundgaard
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0 / 2,000
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Graham Rahal
41% market probability
41%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 41%
+59 / −41
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 59%
+41 / −59
Explain your Yes on Graham Rahal
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0 / 2,000
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Katherine Legge
41% market probability
41%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 41%
+59 / −41
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 59%
+41 / −59
Explain your Yes on Katherine Legge
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0 / 2,000
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Marcus Ericsson
40% market probability
40%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 40%
+60 / −40
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 60%
+40 / −60
Explain your Yes on Marcus Ericsson
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0 / 2,000
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Marcus Armstrong
40% market probability
40%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 40%
+60 / −40
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 60%
+40 / −60
Explain your Yes on Marcus Armstrong
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0 / 2,000
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Christian Rasmussen
40% market probability
40%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 40%
+60 / −40
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 60%
+40 / −60
Explain your Yes on Christian Rasmussen
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0 / 2,000
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Ryan Hunter-Reay
40% market probability
40%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 40%
+60 / −40
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 60%
+40 / −60
Explain your Yes on Ryan Hunter-Reay
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0 / 2,000
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Kyle Kirkwood
38% market probability
38%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 38%
+62 / −38
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 62%
+38 / −62
Explain your Yes on Kyle Kirkwood
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0 / 2,000
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Alexander Rossi
38% market probability
38%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 38%
+62 / −38
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 62%
+38 / −62
Explain your Yes on Alexander Rossi
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Conor Daly
38% market probability
38%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 38%
+62 / −38
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 62%
+38 / −62
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Takuma Sato
38% market probability
38%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 38%
+62 / −38
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 62%
+38 / −62
Explain your Yes on Takuma Sato
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0 / 2,000
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Kyffin Simpson
38% market probability
38%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 38%
+62 / −38
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 62%
+38 / −62
Explain your Yes on Kyffin Simpson
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0 / 2,000
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Jack Harvey
38% market probability
38%
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
Yes 38%
+62 / −38
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
No 62%
+38 / −62
Explain your Yes on Jack Harvey
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Josef Newgarden
38% market probability
38%
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
Yes 38%
+62 / −38
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
No 62%
+38 / −62
Explain your Yes on Josef Newgarden
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0 / 2,000
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Caio Collet
36% market probability
36%
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
Yes 36%
+64 / −36
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
No 64%
+36 / −64
Explain your Yes on Caio Collet
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0 / 2,000
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Will Power
36% market probability
36%
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
Yes 36%
+64 / −36
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
No 64%
+36 / −64
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0 / 2,000
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Scott Dixon
36% market probability
36%
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
Yes 36%
+64 / −36
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
No 64%
+36 / −64
Explain your Yes on Scott Dixon
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0 / 2,000
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Mick Schumacher
36% market probability
36%
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
Yes 36%
+64 / −36
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
No 64%
+36 / −64
Explain your Yes on Mick Schumacher
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0 / 2,000
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Santino Ferrucci
36% market probability
36%
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
Yes 36%
+64 / −36
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
No 64%
+36 / −64
Explain your Yes on Santino Ferrucci
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0 / 2,000
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