Open
Polymarket
Ethereum above ___ on October 18?
Top outcomes
2,000
99%
2,100
99%
2,200
99%
2,300
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
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$44K Vol.
Closes Oct 18, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$44.0k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$44K Vol.
2,000
99% market probability
99%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 99%
+1 / −99
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 1%
+99 / −1
2,100
99% market probability
99%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 99%
+1 / −99
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 1%
+99 / −1
Explain your Yes on 2,100
Explain your No on 2,100
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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2,200
99% market probability
99%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 99%
+1 / −99
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 1%
+99 / −1
Explain your Yes on 2,200
Explain your No on 2,200
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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2,300
99% market probability
99%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 99%
+1 / −99
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 1%
+99 / −1
Explain your Yes on 2,300
Explain your No on 2,300
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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2,400
84% market probability
84%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 84%
+16 / −84
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 17%
+83 / −17
Explain your Yes on 2,400
Explain your No on 2,400
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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2,500
22% market probability
22%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 22%
+78 / −22
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 78%
+22 / −78
Explain your Yes on 2,500
Explain your No on 2,500
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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2,600
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on 2,600
Explain your No on 2,600
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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2,700
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on 2,700
Explain your No on 2,700
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
2,800
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on 2,800
Explain your No on 2,800
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
2,900
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 2,900
Explain your No on 2,900
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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3,000
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 3,000
Explain your No on 3,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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