Russia nuclear test by...? Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...? Epstein client list released by...? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 MLB: 2026 National League Champion Highest grossing movie in 2026? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...? Iran leader end of 2026? Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? Largest Company end of December 2026? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Which party will win the House in 2026? World Cup: Golden Ball Winner US strike on Mexico by...? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Russia nuclear test by...? Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...? Epstein client list released by...? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 MLB: 2026 National League Champion Highest grossing movie in 2026? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...? Iran leader end of 2026? Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? Largest Company end of December 2026? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Which party will win the House in 2026? World Cup: Golden Ball Winner US strike on Mexico by...? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Forecasts closed Politics Polymarket

Elon Musk # tweets July 7 - July 14, 2026?

Top outcomes

180-199 78%
200-219 22%
220-239 1%
500+ 0%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 7 12:00 PM ET to July 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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$3.5M Vol. Closes Jul 14, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$3.5m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$3.5M Vol.

180-199

78% market probability

78%
Yes 78% +22 / −78 No 22% +78 / −22

200-219

22% market probability

22%
Yes 22% +78 / −22 No 78% +22 / −78

220-239

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

500+

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

240-259

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

260-279

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

280-299

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

300-319

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

320-339

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

340-359

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

360-379

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

380-399

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

400-419

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

420-439

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

440-459

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

460-479

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

480-499

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

<20

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

20-39

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

40-59

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

60-79

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

80-99

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

100-119

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

120-139

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

140-159

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

160-179

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
Forecasts are closed because this event has already started.

Public forecast history

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