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Polymarket
Bitcoin above ___ on October 23?
Top outcomes
72,000
98%
74,000
97%
76,000
94%
78,000
84%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
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$37K Vol.
Closes Oct 23, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$37.1k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$37K Vol.
72,000
98% market probability
98%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 98%
+2 / −98
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 2%
+98 / −2
74,000
97% market probability
97%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 97%
+3 / −97
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 3%
+97 / −3
Explain your Yes on 74,000
Explain your No on 74,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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76,000
94% market probability
94%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 94%
+6 / −94
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 6%
+94 / −6
Explain your Yes on 76,000
Explain your No on 76,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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78,000
84% market probability
84%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 84%
+16 / −84
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 16%
+84 / −16
Explain your Yes on 78,000
Explain your No on 78,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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80,000
66% market probability
66%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 66%
+34 / −66
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 34%
+66 / −34
Explain your Yes on 80,000
Explain your No on 80,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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82,000
40% market probability
40%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 40%
+60 / −40
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 60%
+40 / −60
Explain your Yes on 82,000
Explain your No on 82,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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84,000
18% market probability
18%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 18%
+82 / −18
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 82%
+18 / −82
Explain your Yes on 84,000
Explain your No on 84,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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86,000
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on 86,000
Explain your No on 86,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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88,000
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on 88,000
Explain your No on 88,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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90,000
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on 90,000
Explain your No on 90,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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92,000
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 92,000
Explain your No on 92,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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