Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Presidential Election Winner 2028 US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? NFL Champion 2027 Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will Hamas agree to disarm by...? New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? Will US withdraw from NATO by...? F1 Constructors' Champion Netanyahu out by...? Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Fed rate cut by...? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...? Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Presidential Election Winner 2028 US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? NFL Champion 2027 Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will Hamas agree to disarm by...? New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? Will US withdraw from NATO by...? F1 Constructors' Champion Netanyahu out by...? Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Fed rate cut by...? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...? Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
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Bitcoin above ___ on October 22?

Top outcomes

72,000 99%
74,000 98%
76,000 95%
78,000 86%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

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$30K Vol. Closes Oct 22, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$30.1k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$30K Vol.

72,000

99% market probability

99%

Explain your Yes on 72,000 Explain your No on 72,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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74,000

98% market probability

98%

Explain your Yes on 74,000 Explain your No on 74,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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76,000

95% market probability

95%

Explain your Yes on 76,000 Explain your No on 76,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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78,000

86% market probability

86%

Explain your Yes on 78,000 Explain your No on 78,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

80,000

68% market probability

68%

Explain your Yes on 80,000 Explain your No on 80,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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82,000

41% market probability

41%

Explain your Yes on 82,000 Explain your No on 82,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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84,000

19% market probability

19%

Explain your Yes on 84,000 Explain your No on 84,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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86,000

6% market probability

6%

Explain your Yes on 86,000 Explain your No on 86,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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88,000

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on 88,000 Explain your No on 88,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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90,000

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 90,000 Explain your No on 90,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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92,000

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 92,000 Explain your No on 92,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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