Which party will win the House in 2026? California Governor Election Winner Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...? Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Netanyahu out by...? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...? Epstein client list released by...? Next Prime Minister of Romania? Will US withdraw from NATO by...? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...? Will Russia invade a NATO country by...? US military action against Cuba by...?
Which party will win the House in 2026? California Governor Election Winner Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...? Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Netanyahu out by...? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...? Epstein client list released by...? Next Prime Minister of Romania? Will US withdraw from NATO by...? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...? Will Russia invade a NATO country by...? US military action against Cuba by...?
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Bitcoin above ___ on October 20?

Top outcomes

74,000 99%
76,000 99%
78,000 97%
80,000 84%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

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$47K Vol. Closes Oct 20, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$46.8k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$47K Vol.

74,000

99% market probability

99%

Explain your Yes on 74,000 Explain your No on 74,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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76,000

99% market probability

99%

Explain your Yes on 76,000 Explain your No on 76,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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78,000

97% market probability

97%

Explain your Yes on 78,000 Explain your No on 78,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

80,000

84% market probability

84%

Explain your Yes on 80,000 Explain your No on 80,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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82,000

55% market probability

55%

Explain your Yes on 82,000 Explain your No on 82,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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84,000

21% market probability

21%

Explain your Yes on 84,000 Explain your No on 84,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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86,000

5% market probability

5%

Explain your Yes on 86,000 Explain your No on 86,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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88,000

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 88,000 Explain your No on 88,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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92,000

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 92,000 Explain your No on 92,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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90,000

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 90,000 Explain your No on 90,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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94,000

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 94,000 Explain your No on 94,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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