Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? Trump out as President before 2027? World Cup: Nation to Reach Final MLB: 2026 American League Champion Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...? Iran full airspace closure by...? US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? Will US withdraw from NATO by...? California Governor Election Winner Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? US military action against Cuba by...? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Where will Tyreek Hill play in 2026? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? Trump out as President before 2027? World Cup: Nation to Reach Final MLB: 2026 American League Champion Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...? Iran full airspace closure by...? US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? Will US withdraw from NATO by...? California Governor Election Winner Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? US military action against Cuba by...? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Where will Tyreek Hill play in 2026? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Open Crypto Polymarket

Bitcoin above ___ on July 16?

Top outcomes

52,000 100%
54,000 100%
56,000 99%
58,000 98%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

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$131K Vol. Closes Jul 16, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$131.2k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$131K Vol.

52,000

100% market probability

100%

Explain your Yes on 52,000 Explain your No on 52,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

54,000

100% market probability

100%

Explain your Yes on 54,000 Explain your No on 54,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

56,000

99% market probability

99%

Explain your Yes on 56,000 Explain your No on 56,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

58,000

98% market probability

98%

Explain your Yes on 58,000 Explain your No on 58,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

60,000

90% market probability

90%

Explain your Yes on 60,000 Explain your No on 60,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

62,000

64% market probability

64%

Explain your Yes on 62,000 Explain your No on 62,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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64,000

22% market probability

22%

Explain your Yes on 64,000 Explain your No on 64,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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66,000

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on 66,000 Explain your No on 66,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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68,000

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 68,000 Explain your No on 68,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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70,000

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 70,000 Explain your No on 70,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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72,000

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 72,000 Explain your No on 72,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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