Brazil Presidential Election World Cup Winner Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban) What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? US strike on Mexico by...? World Cup: Nation to Reach Final Who will enter Iran by June 30? Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Trump out as President by June 30? Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Next UK Prime Minister in 2026? Largest Company end of June? Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Brazil Presidential Election World Cup Winner Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban) What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? US strike on Mexico by...? World Cup: Nation to Reach Final Who will enter Iran by June 30? Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Trump out as President by June 30? Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Next UK Prime Minister in 2026? Largest Company end of June? Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
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Bitcoin above ___ on July 1?

Top outcomes

50,000 99%
52,000 99%
54,000 98%
56,000 92%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

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$76K Vol. Closes Jul 1, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$75.7k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$76K Vol.

50,000

99% market probability

99%

Explain your Yes on 50,000 Explain your No on 50,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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52,000

99% market probability

99%

Explain your Yes on 52,000 Explain your No on 52,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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54,000

98% market probability

98%

Explain your Yes on 54,000 Explain your No on 54,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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56,000

92% market probability

92%

Explain your Yes on 56,000 Explain your No on 56,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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58,000

78% market probability

78%

Explain your Yes on 58,000 Explain your No on 58,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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60,000

51% market probability

51%

Explain your Yes on 60,000 Explain your No on 60,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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62,000

20% market probability

20%

Explain your Yes on 62,000 Explain your No on 62,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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64,000

6% market probability

6%

Explain your Yes on 64,000 Explain your No on 64,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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66,000

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on 66,000 Explain your No on 66,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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68,000

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 68,000 Explain your No on 68,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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70,000

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 70,000 Explain your No on 70,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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