Fed Decision in July? Largest Company end of December 2026? F1 Constructors' Champion California Governor Election Winner Iran leader end of 2026? US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...? MLS Cup Winner 2026 Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026? Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Fed Decision in July? Largest Company end of December 2026? F1 Constructors' Champion California Governor Election Winner Iran leader end of 2026? US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...? MLS Cup Winner 2026 Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026? Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Open Polymarket

Bitcoin above ___ on August 1?

Top outcomes

54,000 99%
56,000 99%
58,000 98%
60,000 97%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

View on Polymarket
$11K Vol. Closes Aug 1, 2026

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

Open on Polymarket ↗

The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.

$10.7k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$11K Vol.

54,000

99% market probability

99%

Explain your Yes on 54,000 Explain your No on 54,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

56,000

99% market probability

99%

Explain your Yes on 56,000 Explain your No on 56,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

58,000

98% market probability

98%

Explain your Yes on 58,000 Explain your No on 58,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

60,000

97% market probability

97%

Explain your Yes on 60,000 Explain your No on 60,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

62,000

90% market probability

90%

Explain your Yes on 62,000 Explain your No on 62,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

64,000

72% market probability

72%

Explain your Yes on 64,000 Explain your No on 64,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

66,000

43% market probability

43%

Explain your Yes on 66,000 Explain your No on 66,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

68,000

18% market probability

18%

Explain your Yes on 68,000 Explain your No on 68,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

70,000

5% market probability

5%

Explain your Yes on 70,000 Explain your No on 70,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

72,000

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on 72,000 Explain your No on 72,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

74,000

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 74,000 Explain your No on 74,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.