Resolved Science & Tech Polymarket

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

Top outcomes

June 30 100%
May 15 0%
May 30 0%
April 30 0%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

$59K Vol. Closed May 31, 2026
Resolved outcome: June 30

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$58.9k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$59K Vol.

June 30

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

May 15

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

May 30

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

April 30

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
Forecasts are closed because this market is no longer accepting forecasts.

Public forecast history

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No forecasts were placed before this market closed.