Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

0-1.0% 73% Yes No
1.0-2.0% 24% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$31K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District

Flavio Bolsonaro 80% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+38 more outcomes

$31K Vol.
Polymarket

TN-08 House Election Winner

Republican Party 92% Yes No
Democratic Party 6% Yes No
$31K Vol.
Polymarket

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Vote Share?

8-11% 60% Yes No
<8% 28% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$31K Vol.
Polymarket

WA-10 House Election Winner

Democratic Party 94% Yes No
Republican Party 6% Yes No
$31K Vol.
Polymarket

Another Iranian diplomat expelled by...?

October 31 35% Yes No
September 30 20% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$30K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

Joe Biden 100% Yes No
James Talarico 100% Yes No

+38 more outcomes

$30K Vol.
Polymarket

2026 Tarrant County Judge Election Winner

Tim O'Hare 64% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$30K Vol.
Polymarket

Total commitments for the Ethos public sale on Sonar

>2.5M 100% Yes No
>3M 98% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$29K Vol.
Polymarket

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

June 30, 2027 10% Yes No
December 31, 2026 3% Yes No
$29K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Alex Warren 'Wildchild' First Week Album Sales?

70-90k 98% Yes No
50-70k 1% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$29K Vol.
Polymarket

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of August 31?

20-39 82% Yes No
<20 10% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$29K Vol.
Polymarket

Sweden Parliamentary Election: SD Vote Share?

20%+ 49% Yes No
18-20% 34% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$29K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$28K Vol.
Polymarket

Zacatecas Governor Election Winner

Other 50% Yes No
Candidate A 50% Yes No

+41 more outcomes

$28K Vol.
Polymarket

Houthis target Saudi Arabia by...?

September 15 64% Yes No
August 31 4% Yes No
$28K Vol.
Polymarket

Chiclayo Mayoral Election Winner

Other 50% Yes No
Person A 50% Yes No

+43 more outcomes

$28K Vol.
Polymarket

MN-02 House Election Winner

Democratic Party 92% Yes No
Republican Party 7% Yes No
$28K Vol.
Polymarket

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

September 3 92% Yes No
September 5 64% Yes No

+26 more outcomes

$28K Vol.
Polymarket

Quintana Roo Governor Election Winner

Eugenio Segura Vázquez 62% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+41 more outcomes

$27K Vol.
Polymarket

TN-01 House Election Winner

Republican Party 96% Yes No
Democratic Party 4% Yes No
$27K Vol.
Polymarket

AZ-09 House Election Winner

Republican Party 94% Yes No
Democratic Party 3% Yes No
$26K Vol.
Polymarket

Central Bank of Colombia decision in September

No change 87% Yes No
50+ bps increase 7% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$26K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

NY-03 House Election Winner

Democratic Party 92% Yes No
Republican Party 8% Yes No
$26K Vol.
Polymarket