Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place
Other
50%
Yes
No
Candidate A
50%
Yes
No
+39 more outcomes
$39K Vol.
Polymarket
Piauí Senate Election: 1st Place
Other
50%
Yes
No
Candidate A
50%
Yes
No
+45 more outcomes
$39K Vol.
Polymarket
Next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?
Other
50%
Yes
No
Person A
50%
Yes
No
+31 more outcomes
$39K Vol.
Polymarket
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?
US
19%
Yes
No
Italy
16%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$39K Vol.
Polymarket
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
No
86%
Yes
14%
$39K Vol.
Polymarket
Bryansk Oblast Gubernatorial Election Winner
Yegor Kovalchuk
96%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+30 more outcomes
$39K Vol.
Polymarket
OH-11 House Election Winner
Democratic Party
98%
Yes
No
Republican Party
1%
Yes
No
$38K Vol.
Polymarket
TN-04 House Election Winner
Republican Party
92%
Yes
No
Democratic Party
8%
Yes
No
$38K Vol.
Polymarket
Ángela Aguilar & Christian Nodal split in 2026?
No
60%
Yes
40%
$38K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
No release by November 1
32%
Yes
No
September 28–October 4
20%
Yes
No
+9 more outcomes
$38K Vol.
Polymarket
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
No change
61%
Yes
No
25 bps increase
39%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$38K Vol.
Polymarket
Economy
Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
Uganda
100%
Yes
No
South Sudan
68%
Yes
No
+11 more outcomes
$38K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$37K Vol.
Polymarket
OH-12 House Election Winner
Republican Party
94%
Yes
No
Democratic Party
4%
Yes
No
$37K Vol.
Polymarket
San Luis Potosí Governor Election Winner
Ruth González Silva
62%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+45 more outcomes
$37K Vol.
Polymarket
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Aleksandar Vučić
64%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+51 more outcomes
$37K Vol.
Polymarket
VA-02 House Election Winner
Democratic Party
82%
Yes
No
Republican Party
16%
Yes
No
$37K Vol.
Polymarket
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$37K Vol.
Polymarket
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraíba
Lula
97%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+38 more outcomes
$36K Vol.
Polymarket
Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series
Tom Pelphrey – “Task”
46%
Yes
No
Patrick Ball – “The Pitt”
32%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$36K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of September?
OpenAI
96%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+25 more outcomes
$36K Vol.
Polymarket
Espírito Santo Senate Election: 2nd Place
Other
50%
Yes
No
Candidate A
50%
Yes
No
+36 more outcomes
$36K Vol.
Polymarket
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$36K Vol.
Polymarket
Price of Dozen Eggs in August?
$2.20–$2.30
63%
Yes
No
$2.10–$2.20
20%
Yes
No
+8 more outcomes
$36K Vol.
Polymarket
Economy
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