Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place

Other 50% Yes No
Candidate A 50% Yes No

+39 more outcomes

$39K Vol.
Polymarket

Piauí Senate Election: 1st Place

Other 50% Yes No
Candidate A 50% Yes No

+45 more outcomes

$39K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?

Other 50% Yes No
Person A 50% Yes No

+31 more outcomes

$39K Vol.
Polymarket

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?

US 19% Yes No
Italy 16% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$39K Vol.
Polymarket

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

No 86%
Yes 14%
$39K Vol.
Polymarket

Bryansk Oblast Gubernatorial Election Winner

Yegor Kovalchuk 96% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$39K Vol.
Polymarket

OH-11 House Election Winner

Democratic Party 98% Yes No
Republican Party 1% Yes No
$38K Vol.
Polymarket

TN-04 House Election Winner

Republican Party 92% Yes No
Democratic Party 8% Yes No
$38K Vol.
Polymarket

Ángela Aguilar & Christian Nodal split in 2026?

No 60%
Yes 40%
$38K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

No release by November 1 32% Yes No
September 28–October 4 20% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$38K Vol.
Polymarket

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

No change 61% Yes No
25 bps increase 39% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$38K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

Uganda 100% Yes No
South Sudan 68% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$38K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$37K Vol.
Polymarket

OH-12 House Election Winner

Republican Party 94% Yes No
Democratic Party 4% Yes No
$37K Vol.
Polymarket

San Luis Potosí Governor Election Winner

Ruth González Silva 62% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+45 more outcomes

$37K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Aleksandar Vučić 64% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+51 more outcomes

$37K Vol.
Polymarket

VA-02 House Election Winner

Democratic Party 82% Yes No
Republican Party 16% Yes No
$37K Vol.
Polymarket

US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$37K Vol.
Polymarket

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraíba

Lula 97% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+38 more outcomes

$36K Vol.
Polymarket

Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series

Tom Pelphrey – “Task” 46% Yes No
Patrick Ball – “The Pitt” 32% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$36K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of September?

OpenAI 96% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+25 more outcomes

$36K Vol.
Polymarket

Espírito Santo Senate Election: 2nd Place

Other 50% Yes No
Candidate A 50% Yes No

+36 more outcomes

$36K Vol.
Polymarket

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$36K Vol.
Polymarket

Price of Dozen Eggs in August?

$2.20–$2.30 63% Yes No
$2.10–$2.20 20% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$36K Vol.
Polymarket Economy