Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

CA-23 House Election Winner

Jay Obernolte (R) 98% Yes No
Tessa Lynn Hodge (D) 2% Yes No
$102K Vol.
Polymarket

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Microsoft 13% Yes No
SpaceXAI 10% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$102K Vol.
Polymarket

When will Ethereum hit $3k?

by December 31, 2027 70% Yes No
by September 30, 2027 68% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$101K Vol.
Polymarket

Bitcoin above ___ on October 21?

72,000 99% Yes No
74,000 99% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$100K Vol.
Polymarket

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas

Lula 64% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$100K Vol.
Polymarket

Bank of Israel Decision in October?

No Change 89% Yes No
Decrease 9% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$100K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

No 84%
Yes 16%
$100K Vol.
Polymarket

Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

October 31 1% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$100K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?

November 30 29% Yes No
October 31 4% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$99K Vol.
Polymarket

#2 US Spotify Song 2026

Earrings – Malcom Todd 62% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+63 more outcomes

$99K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

↑ 6.20% 100% Yes No
↑ 6.30% 100% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$99K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

PSD 86% Yes No
PSD + AUR 4% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$99K Vol.
Polymarket

MN-06 House Election Winner

Tom Emmer (R) 96% Yes No
Doug Chapin (D) 2% Yes No
$98K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Jumper launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2027 98% Yes No
June 30, 2027 95% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$98K Vol.
Polymarket

NY-21 House Election Winner

Anthony Constantino (R) 74% Yes No
Blake Gendebien (D) 26% Yes No
$98K Vol.
Polymarket

Clavicular sentenced to prison by...?

December 31, 2027 20% Yes No
December 31, 2026 6% Yes No
$97K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

25 bps increase 64% Yes No
No change 30% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$97K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by...?

December 31 16% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$97K Vol.
Polymarket

Pro Football: NFC North Champion

Minnesota Vikings 44% Yes No
Detroit Lions 26% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$97K Vol.
Polymarket

Tennessee Senate Election Winner

Bill Hagerty (R) 95% Yes No
Marquita Bradshaw (D) 4% Yes No
$97K Vol.
Polymarket

OH-14 House Election Winner

David Joyce (R) 96% Yes No
Maria Jukic (D) 2% Yes No
$97K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by...?

December 31 16% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$96K Vol.
Polymarket

Minnesota Governor Election Winner

Amy Klobuchar (D) 96% Yes No
Lisa Demuth (R) 5% Yes No
$96K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by...?

October 31 10% Yes No
August 31 0% Yes No
$96K Vol.
Polymarket