Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026 48% Yes No
December 16% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$124K Vol.
Polymarket

Will GMGN launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 2027 33% Yes No
December 31, 2026 12% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$124K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

What price will Ethereum hit July 20-26?

↓ 1,800 16% Yes No
↓ 1,700 2% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$123K Vol.
Polymarket

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

December 31 11% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$123K Vol.
Polymarket

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$122K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will prjx launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 2027 38% Yes No
December 31, 2026 10% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$119K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?

No 80%
Yes 20%
$119K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

No 44%
Yes 56%
$119K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Will City Protocol launch a token by ___?

June 30, 2027 72% Yes No
March 31, 2027 48% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$118K Vol.
Polymarket

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

August 31 1% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$117K Vol.
Polymarket

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$116K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

MLB: NL Manager of the Year

Clayton McCullough 20% Yes No
Walt Weiss 20% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$115K Vol.
Polymarket

Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$114K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

No 91%
Yes 9%
$113K Vol.
Polymarket

Russia coup attempt in 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$112K Vol.
Polymarket

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$112K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$112K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$111K Vol.
Polymarket

MLB: 2026 AL West Champion

Seattle Mariners 52% Yes No
Texas Rangers 31% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$111K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by July 31?

↓$10B 100% Yes No
↓$9B 57% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$111K Vol.
Polymarket

2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1st hottest 92% Yes No
3rd hottest 7% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$110K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 76% Yes No
New People (NL) 16% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$110K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by...?

September 30 38% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$110K Vol.
Polymarket

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

Republican 90% Yes No
Democrat 12% Yes No
$109K Vol.
Polymarket