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Pop Culture
Polymarket
Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner
Top outcomes
Julianne Moore
71%
Other
50%
Actress I
50%
Actress J
50%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$152.1k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$152K Vol.
Julianne Moore
71% market probability
71%
Yes 71%
+29 / −71
No 29%
+71 / −29
Other
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actress I
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actress J
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actress K
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actress L
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actress M
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actress N
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actress O
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actress P
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actress Q
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actress R
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actress S
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actress T
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actress U
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actress V
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actress W
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actress X
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actress Y
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actress Z
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Inde Navarrette
16% market probability
16%
Yes 16%
+84 / −16
No 84%
+16 / −84
Sandra Hüller
6% market probability
6%
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
No 94%
+6 / −94
Renate Reinsve
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Ruth Madeley
3% market probability
3%
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
No 97%
+3 / −97
Virginie Efira
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Scarlett Johansson
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Emily Blunt
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Mikey Madison
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Rosalind Eleazar
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Joan Collins
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Anne Hathaway
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Cynthia Erivo
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Olivia Wilde
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Rachel Brosnahan
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Léa Seydoux
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Sophie Okonedo
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Michelle Williams
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Public forecast history
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