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Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner
Top outcomes
Other
50%
Actress B
50%
Actress C
50%
Actress D
50%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$105K Vol.
Closes Mar 14, 2027
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$104.6k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$105K Vol.
Other
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Actress B
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Actress B
Explain your No on Actress B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress C
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Actress C
Explain your No on Actress C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress D
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Actress D
Explain your No on Actress D
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress E
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Actress E
Explain your No on Actress E
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress F
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Actress F
Explain your No on Actress F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress G
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Actress G
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress H
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Actress H
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress I
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Actress I
Explain your No on Actress I
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress J
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Actress J
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress K
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Actress K
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress L
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Actress L
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress M
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Actress M
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress N
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Actress N
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress O
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Actress O
Explain your No on Actress O
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress P
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Actress P
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress Q
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Actress Q
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress R
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Actress R
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress S
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Actress S
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress T
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Actress T
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress U
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Actress U
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress V
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Actress V
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress W
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Actress W
Explain your No on Actress W
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress X
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Actress X
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress Y
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Actress Y
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Actress Z
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Actress Z
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Julianne Moore
26% market probability
26%
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
Yes 26%
+74 / −26
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
No 74%
+26 / −74
Explain your Yes on Julianne Moore
Explain your No on Julianne Moore
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Inde Navarrette
18% market probability
18%
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
Yes 18%
+82 / −18
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
No 82%
+18 / −82
Explain your Yes on Inde Navarrette
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Renate Reinsve
14% market probability
14%
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
Yes 14%
+86 / −14
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
No 86%
+14 / −86
Explain your Yes on Renate Reinsve
Explain your No on Renate Reinsve
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sandra Hüller
12% market probability
12%
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
No 88%
+12 / −88
Explain your Yes on Sandra Hüller
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0 / 2,000
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Ruth Madeley
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on Ruth Madeley
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sophie Okonedo
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on Sophie Okonedo
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Michelle Williams
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on Michelle Williams
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Scarlett Johansson
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Scarlett Johansson
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Virginie Efira
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Virginie Efira
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Rachel Brosnahan
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-35']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-35']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Rachel Brosnahan
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Léa Seydoux
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-36']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-36']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Léa Seydoux
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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