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F1: Action of the Year
Top outcomes
Max Verstappen
51%
Kimi Antonelli
26%
Lewis Hamilton
9%
George Russell
3%
This market will resolve to the driver who wins the 2026 Action of the Year award for the 2026 Formula 1 season as awarded at the FIA Awards.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$190K Vol.
Closes Jan 1, 2027
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$189.6k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$190K Vol.
Max Verstappen
51% market probability
51%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 51%
+49 / −51
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 49%
+51 / −49
Kimi Antonelli
26% market probability
26%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 26%
+74 / −26
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 74%
+26 / −74
Explain your Yes on Kimi Antonelli
Explain your No on Kimi Antonelli
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lewis Hamilton
9% market probability
9%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 9%
+91 / −9
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 91%
+9 / −91
Explain your Yes on Lewis Hamilton
Explain your No on Lewis Hamilton
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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George Russell
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on George Russell
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Oscar Piastri
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Oscar Piastri
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Liam Lawson
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Liam Lawson
Explain your No on Liam Lawson
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Alexander Albon
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Alexander Albon
Explain your No on Alexander Albon
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Charles Leclerc
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Charles Leclerc
Explain your No on Charles Leclerc
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Gabriel Bortoleto
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Gabriel Bortoleto
Explain your No on Gabriel Bortoleto
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lando Norris
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Lando Norris
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Pierre Gasly
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Pierre Gasly
Explain your No on Pierre Gasly
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Fernando Alonso
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Fernando Alonso
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Isack Hadjar
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Isack Hadjar
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Arvid Lindblad
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Arvid Lindblad
Explain your No on Arvid Lindblad
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Franco Colapinto
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Franco Colapinto
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Esteban Ocon
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Esteban Ocon
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sergio Perez
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Sergio Perez
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Oliver Bearman
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Oliver Bearman
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Nico Hulkenberg
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Nico Hulkenberg
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Carlos Sainz
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Carlos Sainz
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Valtteri Bottas
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Valtteri Bottas
Explain your No on Valtteri Bottas
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lance Stroll
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Lance Stroll
Explain your No on Lance Stroll
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Public forecast history
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