Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$190K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Daylight launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2027 42% Yes No
December 31, 2026 21% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$189K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Will USDT market cap hit $200B by ___?

December 31, 2026 57% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No
$189K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$187K Vol.
Polymarket

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$183K Vol.
Polymarket

Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by ___?

December 31, 2026 24% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No
$183K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Republican 72% Yes No
Independent 24% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$183K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by...?

December 31 16% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$183K Vol.
Polymarket

Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$182K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

No 60%
Yes 40%
$180K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Pacifica launch a token by ___ ?

December 31 2026 11% Yes No
September 30 2026 3% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$179K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$179K Vol.
Polymarket

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$178K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Independent/Technocrat 33% Yes No
PSD 23% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$178K Vol.
Polymarket

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office

>280m 46% Yes No
260-280m 29% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$177K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$1.25–$1.5T 16% Yes No
$2.25–$2.5T 16% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$177K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will Trump speak to in July?

Mark Rutte 100% Yes No
Mark Carney 100% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$176K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Predict.fun launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2027 87% Yes No
September 30, 2027 75% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$175K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

1m 100% Yes No
1.1m 86% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$174K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

No meeting by December 31 69% Yes No
China 16% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$172K Vol.
Polymarket

US x China Military clash before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$170K Vol.
Polymarket

Ostium FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$100M 32% Yes No
$50M 22% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$166K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

NATO article 5 before 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$165K Vol.
Polymarket

Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?

July 31 4% Yes No
June 7 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$165K Vol.
Polymarket