Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?

July 31 2% Yes No
June 7 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$81K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?

December 31 17% Yes No
September 30 5% Yes No
$74K Vol.
Polymarket

Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

August 31 5% Yes No
July 31 4% Yes No
$71K Vol.
Polymarket

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 20?

50-74 46% Yes No
<50 42% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$67K Vol.
Polymarket

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

No 91%
Yes 9%
$65K Vol.
Polymarket

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

July 31 20% Yes No
July 21 1% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$64K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by...?

December 31 11% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No
$59K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by...?

September 30 26% Yes No
July 31 2% Yes No
$59K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia enter Moskovka by...?

July 31 14% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$49K Vol.
Polymarket

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

December 31 17% Yes No
September 30 10% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$47K Vol.
Polymarket

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by...?

July 31 55% Yes No
July 24 13% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$46K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Serhiivka by...?

December 31 24% Yes No
July 31 2% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$45K Vol.
Polymarket

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$39K Vol.
Polymarket

Houthis successfully target shipping on...?

August 29 55% Yes No
July 30 54% Yes No

+37 more outcomes

$17K Vol.
Polymarket