Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?
July 31
2%
Yes
No
June 7
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$81K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?
December 31
17%
Yes
No
September 30
5%
Yes
No
$74K Vol.
Polymarket
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
August 31
5%
Yes
No
July 31
4%
Yes
No
$71K Vol.
Polymarket
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 20?
50-74
46%
Yes
No
<50
42%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$67K Vol.
Polymarket
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
No
91%
Yes
9%
$65K Vol.
Polymarket
Israel military action against Yemen by...?
July 31
20%
Yes
No
July 21
1%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$64K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by...?
December 31
11%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
$59K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by...?
September 30
26%
Yes
No
July 31
2%
Yes
No
$59K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia enter Moskovka by...?
July 31
14%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$49K Vol.
Polymarket
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?
December 31
17%
Yes
No
September 30
10%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$47K Vol.
Polymarket
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by...?
July 31
55%
Yes
No
July 24
13%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$46K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture Serhiivka by...?
December 31
24%
Yes
No
July 31
2%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$45K Vol.
Polymarket
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$39K Vol.
Polymarket
Houthis successfully target shipping on...?
August 29
55%
Yes
No
July 30
54%
Yes
No
+37 more outcomes
$17K Vol.
Polymarket
Showing 49–62