Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$7.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party 82% Yes No
Republican Party 20% Yes No
$7.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

5 41% Yes No
4 35% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$6.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Trump out as President by June 30?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$6.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 82%
Yes 18%
$6.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?

December 31, 2026 83% Yes No
September 30, 2026 75% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$6.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Elon Musk # tweets June 2 - June 9, 2026?

220-239 100% Yes No
500+ 0% Yes No

+24 more outcomes

$6.5M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

June 30 8% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$6.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026?

1080-1119 0% Yes No
1160-1199 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$6.0M Vol.
Polymarket

Russia nuclear test by...?

September 30, 2026 31% Yes No
December 31, 2026 8% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$5.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

December 31 7% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$5.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Elon Musk # tweets May 29 - June 5, 2026?

180-199 100% Yes No
<20 0% Yes No

+24 more outcomes

$5.9M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

Forecasts closed
June 30, 2026 1% Yes No
December 31, 2025 0% Yes No
$5.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Epstein client list released by...?

June 30 3% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No
$4.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

September 30 28% Yes No
June 30 10% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$4.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?

Forecasts closed
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No
$4.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election Winner

Choo Mi-ae 100% Yes No
Yoo Seung-min 7% Yes No

+66 more outcomes

$4.1M Vol.
Polymarket

Next Prime Minister of Slovenia

Luka Mesec 0% Yes No
Anže Logar 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$4.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Graham Platner 100% Yes No
Other 0% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$3.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Flávio Bolsonaro 64% Yes No
Renan Santos 17% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$3.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Daegu Mayoral Election Winner

Choo Kyung-ho 100% Yes No
Other 0% Yes No

+26 more outcomes

$3.6M Vol.
Polymarket

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

December 31 46% Yes No
October 31 28% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$3.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Elon Musk # tweets June 5 - June 12, 2026?

200-219 42% Yes No
220-239 34% Yes No

+24 more outcomes

$3.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Trump out as President by May 31?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$3.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics