Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
AL-05 House Election Winner
Dale Strong (R)
96%
Yes
No
Andrew Sneed (D)
5%
Yes
No
$68K Vol.
Polymarket
Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner
Lai Jui-lung
82%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+31 more outcomes
$67K Vol.
Polymarket
IA-04 House Election Winner
Chris McGowan (R)
96%
Yes
No
David Dawson (D)
0%
Yes
No
$67K Vol.
Polymarket
Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?
No Hormuz Agreement; R Senate
34%
Yes
No
Hormuz Agreement; R Senate
1%
Yes
No
$66K Vol.
Polymarket
Kansas Governor Election Winner
Ty Masterson (R)
76%
Yes
No
Cindy Holscher (D)
24%
Yes
No
$65K Vol.
Polymarket
NE-02 House Election Winner
Denise Powell (D)
95%
Yes
No
Brinker Harding (R)
5%
Yes
No
$65K Vol.
Polymarket
Next Regional Board Chair of Skåne?
Carl Johan Sonesson
97%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+27 more outcomes
$65K Vol.
Polymarket
Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?
National + ACT + NZF
40%
Yes
No
Labour + Green
30%
Yes
No
+16 more outcomes
$65K Vol.
Polymarket
TX-05 House Election Winner
Lance Gooden (R)
97%
Yes
No
Chelsey Hockett (D)
1%
Yes
No
$65K Vol.
Polymarket
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?
December 31
20%
Yes
No
October 31
2%
Yes
No
$65K Vol.
Polymarket
New Zealand legislative election winner?
Labour Party
54%
Yes
No
National Party
45%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$65K Vol.
Polymarket
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?
No
95%
Yes
5%
$65K Vol.
Polymarket
NY-05 House Election Winner
Gregory Meeks (D)
98%
Yes
No
George Marsh (R)
2%
Yes
No
$64K Vol.
Polymarket
MO-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Democrat 3%+
95%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+11 more outcomes
$64K Vol.
Polymarket
MN-02 House Election Winner
Matt Little (D)
95%
Yes
No
Eric Pratt (R)
4%
Yes
No
$64K Vol.
Polymarket
TX-26 House Election Winner
Brandon Gill (R)
96%
Yes
No
Steven Shook (D)
4%
Yes
No
$63K Vol.
Polymarket
Alaska Senate and Governor Combo
Dems sweep
72%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$63K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$63K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
FL-08 House Election Winner
Mike Haridopolos (R)
95%
Yes
No
Jennifer Jenkins (D)
4%
Yes
No
$61K Vol.
Polymarket
Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner
Josh Shapiro (D)
97%
Yes
No
Stacy Garrity (R)
3%
Yes
No
$60K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
October 2
100%
Yes
No
October 3
100%
Yes
No
+28 more outcomes
$60K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
No
72%
Yes
28%
$60K Vol.
Polymarket
TX-01 House Election Winner
Nathaniel Moran (R)
97%
Yes
No
Yolanda Prince (D)
2%
Yes
No
$60K Vol.
Polymarket
NC-06 House Election Winner
Addison McDowell (R)
90%
Yes
No
Cyril Jefferson (D)
10%
Yes
No
$60K Vol.
Polymarket
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