Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

GA-11 House Election Winner

John Cowan (R) 96% Yes No
Chris Harden (D) 3% Yes No
$88K Vol.
Polymarket

CA-36 House Election Winner

Ted Lieu (D) 98% Yes No
Houston Brignano (R) 2% Yes No
$86K Vol.
Polymarket

Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?

PAN 75% Yes No
PRI 16% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$86K Vol.
Polymarket

Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

↓ 35% 100% Yes No
↓ 30% 44% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$86K Vol.
Polymarket

AL-02 House Election Winner

Rhett Marques (R) 70% Yes No
Shomari Figures (D) 30% Yes No
$84K Vol.
Polymarket

SC-01 House Election Winner

Jenny Costa Honeycutt (R) 70% Yes No
Nancy Lacore (D) 30% Yes No
$84K Vol.
Polymarket

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad

Lula 64% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$84K Vol.
Polymarket

NC-04 House Election Winner

Valerie Foushee (D) 97% Yes No
Max Ganorkar (R) 3% Yes No
$84K Vol.
Polymarket

FL-26 House Election Winner

Mario Díaz-Balart (R) 88% Yes No
Nicole Locklin (D) 10% Yes No
$84K Vol.
Polymarket

FL-12 House Election Winner

Gus Bilirakis (R) 94% Yes No
Kimberly Overman (D) 6% Yes No
$81K Vol.
Polymarket

Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?

Yemen 12% Yes No
Egypt 10% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$81K Vol.
Polymarket

MO-05 House Election Winner

Emanuel Cleaver (D) 96% Yes No
Rick Brattin (R) 3% Yes No
$80K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Iran legalize gay marriage?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$80K Vol.
Polymarket

TX-04 House Election Winner

Pat Fallon (R) 96% Yes No
Jason Pearce (D) 1% Yes No
$79K Vol.
Polymarket

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate 58% Yes No
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate 33% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$79K Vol.
Polymarket

Tlaxcala Governor Election Winner

Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera 57% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+38 more outcomes

$78K Vol.
Polymarket

Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

PSD 96% Yes No
UDMR 20% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$78K Vol.
Polymarket

WI-07 House Election Winner

Michael Alfonso (R) 94% Yes No
Fred Clark (D) 4% Yes No
$78K Vol.
Polymarket

Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$78K Vol.
Polymarket

Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

Other 50% Yes No
Person A 50% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$77K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?

JD Vance 100% Yes No
Elon Musk 100% Yes No

+23 more outcomes

$76K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

PA-16 House Election Winner

Mike Kelly (R) 96% Yes No
Justin Wagner (D) 4% Yes No
$76K Vol.
Polymarket

NM-02 House Election Winner

Gabe Vasquez (D) 92% Yes No
Greg Cunningham (R) 8% Yes No
$74K Vol.
Polymarket

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$74K Vol.
Polymarket