Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Will ByteDance's valuation hit __ by December 31?

↓$550B 100% Yes No
↑$650B 40% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$73K Vol.
Polymarket

Shein IPO Closing Market Cap Above __?

↑ 100B HKD 100% Yes No
↑ 150B HKD 100% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$73K Vol.
Polymarket

2nd Largest Company end of September?

Apple 84% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$68K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

3.50% to 3.99% 33% Yes No
4.00% to 4.49% 25% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$66K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?

0.3%–0.5% 100% Yes No
0.9%–1.1% 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$66K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will the median home value in Miami be on September 30?

$1.089M - $1.125M 44% Yes No
$1.053M - $1.089M 20% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$64K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will the median home value in the US be on September 30?

<$419K 48% Yes No
$419K - $426K 35% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$61K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?

$6.00-$6.50 20% Yes No
$5.50-$6.00 18% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$61K Vol.
Polymarket

What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?

$663K - $689K 47% Yes No
$636K - $663K 33% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$59K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Fed Decision in January?

No change 60% Yes No
25 bps increase 22% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$57K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

December 31, 2026 12% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No
$56K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026

0.8-1.1% 66% Yes No
0.4-0.7% 16% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$53K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?

<$1.137M 60% Yes No
$1.137M - $1.153M 38% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$52K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?

No 72%
Yes 28%
$52K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

Goldman Sachs 62% Yes No
Morgan Stanley 36% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$52K Vol.
Polymarket

Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

↑ 6.20% 100% Yes No
↑ 6.30% 100% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$51K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?

$518K - $524K 33% Yes No
$512K - $518K 30% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$51K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of Mexico Decision in September?

No change 96% Yes No
25 bps decrease 3% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$50K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

August Inflation US - Annual

3.4% 46% Yes No
3.3% 36% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$50K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?

No Change 90% Yes No
Decrease 12% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$49K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

No change 88% Yes No
25 bps increase 12% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$49K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Discord IPO Closing Market Cap

8–11B 24% Yes No
11–14B 24% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$49K Vol.
Polymarket

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

No 62%
Yes 38%
$49K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

ISM Services PMI - August 2026

54.0–54.9 45% Yes No
53.0–53.9 18% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$47K Vol.
Polymarket Economy