Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in June 2026?

↑ $750 100% Yes No
↑ $760 100% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$252K Vol.
Polymarket

Anthropic IPO by __?

December 31, 2026 90% Yes No
October 31, 2026 70% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$247K Vol.
Polymarket

How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by June 30?

70% 100% Yes No
75% 100% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$244K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

4.3% 100% Yes No
4.4% 100% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$237K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Fed Decision in September?

No change 73% Yes No
25 bps increase 21% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$235K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in May 2026?

$232K Vol.
Polymarket

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

4.0% 100% Yes No
3.9% 47% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$216K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will gas hit __ by end of May?

↓ $4.10 7% Yes No
↓ $4.00 3% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$202K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in June 2026?

↑ $620 100% Yes No
↑ $640 100% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$163K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$161K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Fed rate hike by...?

October Meeting 41% Yes No
September Meeting 26% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$158K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

↑ $7,800 79% Yes No
↑ $8,200 40% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$147K Vol.
Polymarket

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

1.8T+ 48% Yes No
1.2–1.5T 18% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$147K Vol.
Polymarket

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of June 1 2026?

↑ $90 100% Yes No
↑ $95 100% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$143K Vol.
Polymarket

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$141K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by May 31?

↑ 1.9M 0% Yes No
↑ 2.0M 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$136K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

SpaceX IPO Date

June 12 97% Yes No
June 15 1% Yes No

+19 more outcomes

$136K Vol.
Polymarket

ECB rate hike in 2026?

No 0%
Yes 100%
$136K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in June 2026?

↑ $3.20 100% Yes No
↑ $3.40 62% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$128K Vol.
Polymarket

May Inflation US - Monthly

Forecasts closed
0.5% 100% Yes No
0.2% 0% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$126K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Canada recession before 2027?

No 0%
Yes 100%
$122K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

No 0%
Yes 100%
$119K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

June 30 100% Yes No
September 30 100% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$119K Vol.
Polymarket

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on June 9?

$86 100% Yes No
$87 100% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$118K Vol.
Polymarket