Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

FDA approves Merck's Welireg + Keytruda or Keytruda Qlex?

No 0%
Yes 100%
$894 Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 29 - July 5?

1 34% Yes No
0 24% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$635 Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

310+ 32% Yes No
190–219 31% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$628 Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

British Grand Prix: Sprint Winner

Kimi Antonelli 28% Yes No
Max Verstappen 28% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$534 Vol.
Polymarket Sports

T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India - Completed match?

No 0%
Yes 100%
$529 Vol.
Polymarket

US fertility rate up in Q1 2026?

No 53%
Yes 47%
$520 Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India - Completed match?

No 0%
Yes 100%
$504 Vol.
Polymarket

T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Bangladesh - Completed match?

No 0%
Yes 100%
$503 Vol.
Polymarket

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.15–1.19ºC 45% Yes No
>1.29ºC 37% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$492 Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$434 Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

British Grand Prix: Sprint Qualifying Pole Winner

Kimi Antonelli 30% Yes No
Lewis Hamilton 30% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$414 Vol.
Polymarket Sports

FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?

No 25%
Yes 75%
$306 Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Cameroon vs Mali - Completed match?

No 0%
Yes 100%
$298 Vol.
Polymarket

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 29 - July 5?

14 41% Yes No
12 40% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$270 Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?

No 32%
Yes 68%
$197 Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Oman vs Singapore - Completed match?

No 0%
Yes 100%
$194 Vol.
Polymarket

T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Bahrain - Completed match?

No 0%
Yes 100%
$185 Vol.
Polymarket

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

December 31 55% Yes No
August 30 54% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$167 Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

T20 Blast: Hampshire vs Surrey - Completed match?

No 0%
Yes 100%
$165 Vol.
Polymarket

Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

No 48%
Yes 52%
$165 Vol.
Polymarket Sports

T20 Blast: Worcestershire vs Warwickshire - Completed match?

No 0%
Yes 100%
$140 Vol.
Polymarket

T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Kenya vs Ivory Coast - Completed match?

No 0%
Yes 100%
$132 Vol.
Polymarket

T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India - Completed match?

No 0%
Yes 100%
$111 Vol.
Polymarket

Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals - Completed match?

No 0%
Yes 100%
$105 Vol.
Polymarket