Middle East

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

October 31 10% Yes No

July 14 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$419K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Iran target Qatar by...?

October 31 3% Yes No

August 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$146K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Iran target Syria by...?

October 31 3% Yes No

August 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$45K Vol.

Polymarket

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

October 31 18% Yes No

October 15 0% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$135K Vol.

Polymarket

Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

October 31 1% Yes No

July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$100K Vol.

Polymarket

Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by...?

October 31 14% Yes No

August 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$49K Vol.

Polymarket

Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?

25-29 62% Yes No

30-34 24% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$53K Vol.

Polymarket

Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

October 31 2% Yes No

August 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$270K Vol.

Polymarket

Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

October 31 1% Yes No

July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$201K Vol.

Polymarket

Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

October 31 3% Yes No

July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$57K Vol.

Polymarket

Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

October 31 1% Yes No

July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$210K Vol.

Polymarket

Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

October 31 1% Yes No

July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$75K Vol.

Polymarket

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?

October 3 100% Yes No

October 6 100% Yes No

+29 more outcomes

$119K Vol.

Polymarket

Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?

October 31 6% Yes No

September 15 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$145K Vol.

Polymarket

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

October 2 100% Yes No

October 3 100% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

$162K Vol.

Polymarket

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?

October 5 100% Yes No

October 7 100% Yes No

+29 more outcomes

$915K Vol.

Polymarket

Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?

October 1 100% Yes No

October 3 100% Yes No

+29 more outcomes

$49K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Iran target Kuwait by...?

October 31 21% Yes No

October 15 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$24K Vol.

Polymarket

Israel military action against Syria by...?

November 30 15% Yes No

October 31 6% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$160K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Iran target Oman by...?

November 30 10% Yes No

October 31 3% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$46K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?

November 30 17% Yes No

October 31 3% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$100K Vol.

Polymarket

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

May 31 0% Yes No

July 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$12.2M Vol.

Polymarket World

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

No 85%

Yes 15%

$328K Vol.

Polymarket

UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

No 94%

Yes 6%

$355K Vol.

Polymarket