Politics
Elections, policy, and government
423 open forecasts
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Events in Politics
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Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027
92%
Yes
No
Belarus
2%
Yes
No
+12 more outcomes
$3.3M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?
Kuwait
23%
Yes
No
Qatar
14%
Yes
No
+14 more outcomes
$51K Vol.
Polymarket
Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
Belgium
18%
Yes
No
New Zealand
12%
Yes
No
+9 more outcomes
$758K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
India
18%
Yes
No
Israel
15%
Yes
No
+15 more outcomes
$388K Vol.
Polymarket
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Gavin Newsom
12%
Yes
No
Jon Stewart
10%
Yes
No
+69 more outcomes
$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Steve Witkoff
32%
Yes
No
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
32%
Yes
No
+18 more outcomes
$356K Vol.
Polymarket
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
Pam Bondi
100%
Yes
No
Dan Bongino
100%
Yes
No
+19 more outcomes
$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Xi Jinping
100%
Yes
No
Javier Milei
100%
Yes
No
+24 more outcomes
$982K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Ryan Salame
26%
Yes
No
Stefan Brodie
24%
Yes
No
+26 more outcomes
$438K Vol.
Polymarket
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$76K Vol.
Polymarket
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?
December 31
33%
Yes
No
October 31
27%
Yes
No
$63K Vol.
Polymarket
Will any country leave NATO by...?
December 31, 2026
2%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$211K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
December 31, 2026
24%
Yes
No
December 31
0%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$3.7M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?
December 31
30%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$767K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
No
88%
Yes
12%
$406K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Israel annex any territory by...?
December 31, 2026
8%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
$534K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
No
98%
Yes
2%
$194K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by...?
December 31
6%
Yes
No
October 31
4%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$117K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?
December 31
28%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$482K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?
December 31
97%
Yes
No
September 30
94%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$398K Vol.
Polymarket
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?
December 31
23%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$118K Vol.
Polymarket
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$444K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$11.7M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Showing 313–336 of 423