Politics

Elections, policy, and government

423 open forecasts

Events in Politics

Sorted by date

Advanced filters →

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 2027 92% Yes No
Belarus 2% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$3.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?

Kuwait 23% Yes No
Qatar 14% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$51K Vol.
Polymarket

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Belgium 18% Yes No
New Zealand 12% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$758K Vol.
Polymarket World

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

India 18% Yes No
Israel 15% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$388K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Gavin Newsom 12% Yes No
Jon Stewart 10% Yes No

+69 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Steve Witkoff 32% Yes No
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf 32% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$356K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Pam Bondi 100% Yes No
Dan Bongino 100% Yes No

+19 more outcomes

$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Xi Jinping 100% Yes No
Javier Milei 100% Yes No

+24 more outcomes

$982K Vol.
Polymarket World

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Ryan Salame 26% Yes No
Stefan Brodie 24% Yes No

+26 more outcomes

$438K Vol.
Polymarket

Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$76K Vol.
Polymarket

Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?

December 31 33% Yes No
October 31 27% Yes No
$63K Vol.
Polymarket

Will any country leave NATO by...?

December 31, 2026 2% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$211K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

December 31, 2026 24% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$3.7M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?

December 31 30% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$767K Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$406K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

December 31, 2026 8% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No
$534K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$194K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
October 31 4% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$117K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?

December 31 28% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$482K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?

December 31 97% Yes No
September 30 94% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$398K Vol.
Polymarket

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?

December 31 23% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$118K Vol.
Polymarket

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$444K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$11.7M Vol.
Polymarket World