Politics

Elections, policy, and government

416 open forecasts

Events in Politics

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AfD wins the most seats in how many September state elections?

2 80% Yes No
3 11% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$101K Vol.
Polymarket

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?

No 82%
Yes 18%
$147K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Karen Bass 64% Yes No
Nithya Raman 35% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$13.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?

December 31 20% Yes No
September 30 6% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$245K Vol.
Polymarket

Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026 74% Yes No
December 10% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$388K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?

Other 50% Yes No
Candidate N 50% Yes No

+31 more outcomes

$205K Vol.
Polymarket

Andrew Tate released from custody by...?

December 31 21% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$287K Vol.
Polymarket

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

December 31 17% Yes No
October 31 12% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$12.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

December 31, 2026 5% Yes No
July 31, 2026 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$279K Vol.
Polymarket

D4vd released from custody in 2026?

No 93%
Yes 7%
$8K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Epstein client list released by...?

October 31 22% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$4.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$462K Vol.
Polymarket

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

December 31 12% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$266K Vol.
Polymarket

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$823K Vol.
Polymarket World

FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$37K Vol.
Polymarket

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

December 31 27% Yes No
September 30 4% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

French election called by...?

December 31, 2026 5% Yes No
October 10 0% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$654K Vol.
Polymarket

Greece x Turkey military engagement by...?

December 31 10% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

4 77% Yes No
6 9% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$7.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?

December 31 12% Yes No
October 31 4% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$373K Vol.
Polymarket

India strike on Pakistan by...?

December 31, 2026 16% Yes No
October 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$991K Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

No 86%
Yes 14%
$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
October 31 2% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$17.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics