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Polymarket
World Cup: Silver Ball Winner
Top outcomes
Kylian Mbappé
60%
Other
50%
Player A
50%
Player B
50%
This market will resolve to the player who is awarded the Silver Ball award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$88.5k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$88K Vol.
Kylian Mbappé
60% market probability
60%
Yes 60%
+40 / −60
No 40%
+60 / −40
Other
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player A
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player B
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player C
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player D
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player E
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player F
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player G
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player H
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player I
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player J
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player K
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player L
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player M
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player N
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player O
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player P
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player Q
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player R
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player S
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Player T
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Rodri
30% market probability
30%
Yes 30%
+70 / −30
No 70%
+30 / −70
Lionel Messi
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
Jude Bellingham
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
Lamine Yamal
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Erling Haaland
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Harry Kane
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Gavi
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Pedri
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Neymar
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Vitinha
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Bukayo Saka
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Declan Rice
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Rayan Cherki
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Florian Wirtz
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Michael Olise
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Vinícius Jr.
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Bruno Fernandes
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Cristiano Ronaldo
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Ousmane Dembélé
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Public forecast history
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