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World Cup: No. of Matches Decided by Penalty Shootout

Top outcomes

1+ matches 100%
2+ matches 100%
3+ matches 100%
4+ matches 100%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

$491K Vol. Closes Jul 20, 2026

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$490.9k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$491K Vol.

1+ matches

100% market probability

100%

Explain your Yes on 1+ matches Explain your No on 1+ matches (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

2+ matches

100% market probability

100%

Explain your Yes on 2+ matches Explain your No on 2+ matches (optional)

0 / 2,000

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3+ matches

100% market probability

100%

Explain your Yes on 3+ matches Explain your No on 3+ matches (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

4+ matches

100% market probability

100%

Explain your Yes on 4+ matches Explain your No on 4+ matches (optional)

0 / 2,000

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5+ matches

58% market probability

58%

Explain your Yes on 5+ matches Explain your No on 5+ matches (optional)

0 / 2,000

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6+ matches

16% market probability

16%

Explain your Yes on 6+ matches Explain your No on 6+ matches (optional)

0 / 2,000

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7+ matches

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on 7+ matches Explain your No on 7+ matches (optional)

0 / 2,000

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8+ matches

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 8+ matches Explain your No on 8+ matches (optional)

0 / 2,000

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9+ matches

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on 9+ matches Explain your No on 9+ matches (optional)

0 / 2,000

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