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World Cup: No. of Matches Decided by Penalty Shootout
Top outcomes
1+ matches
100%
2+ matches
100%
3+ matches
100%
4+ matches
100%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$491K Vol.
Closes Jul 20, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$490.9k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$491K Vol.
1+ matches
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
2+ matches
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on 2+ matches
Explain your No on 2+ matches
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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3+ matches
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on 3+ matches
Explain your No on 3+ matches
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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4+ matches
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on 4+ matches
Explain your No on 4+ matches
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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5+ matches
58% market probability
58%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 58%
+42 / −58
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 42%
+58 / −42
Explain your Yes on 5+ matches
Explain your No on 5+ matches
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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6+ matches
16% market probability
16%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 16%
+84 / −16
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 84%
+16 / −84
Explain your Yes on 6+ matches
Explain your No on 6+ matches
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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7+ matches
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on 7+ matches
Explain your No on 7+ matches
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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8+ matches
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 8+ matches
Explain your No on 8+ matches
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
9+ matches
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on 9+ matches
Explain your No on 9+ matches
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
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