F1 Drivers' Champion Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Next French Presidential Election Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? Netanyahu out by...? Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? US x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Russia nuclear test by...? Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...? Which party will win the House in 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? US military action against Cuba by...? MLB: 2026 American League Champion
F1 Drivers' Champion Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Next French Presidential Election Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? Netanyahu out by...? Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? US x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Russia nuclear test by...? Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...? Which party will win the House in 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? US military action against Cuba by...? MLB: 2026 American League Champion
Open Polymarket

World Cup: Nation To Reach Semifinals

Top outcomes

Spain 44%
France 42%
England 34%
Brazil 32%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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$156K Vol. Closes Jul 13, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$155.9k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$156K Vol.

Spain

44% market probability

44%

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0 / 2,000

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France

42% market probability

42%

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0 / 2,000

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England

34% market probability

34%

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0 / 2,000

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Brazil

32% market probability

32%

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0 / 2,000

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Portugal

31% market probability

31%

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0 / 2,000

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Argentina

31% market probability

31%

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0 / 2,000

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Germany

22% market probability

22%

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0 / 2,000

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Netherlands

20% market probability

20%

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0 / 2,000

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Norway

16% market probability

16%

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0 / 2,000

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Belgium

14% market probability

14%

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0 / 2,000

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Colombia

14% market probability

14%

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0 / 2,000

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Mexico

12% market probability

12%

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0 / 2,000

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Morocco

12% market probability

12%

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0 / 2,000

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Japan

10% market probability

10%

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0 / 2,000

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Switzerland

10% market probability

10%

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0 / 2,000

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USA

9% market probability

9%

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0 / 2,000

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Turkiye

9% market probability

9%

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0 / 2,000

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Uruguay

8% market probability

8%

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0 / 2,000

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Croatia

8% market probability

8%

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0 / 2,000

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Ecuador

8% market probability

8%

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0 / 2,000

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Senegal

7% market probability

7%

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0 / 2,000

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Austria

6% market probability

6%

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0 / 2,000

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Paraguay

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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South Korea

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Canada

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Sweden

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Ivory Coast

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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Czechia

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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Scotland

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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Egypt

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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Bosnia and Herzegovina

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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Algeria

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Ghana

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Australia

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Uzbekistan

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Iran

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Tunisia

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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DR Congo

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Saudi Arabia

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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South Africa

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Iraq

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Panama

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Cape Verde

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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New Zealand

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Jordan

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Curacao

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Qatar

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Haiti

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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