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World Cup: Nation of Top Goalscorer
Top outcomes
France
22%
Spain
12%
England
12%
Brazil
12%
This market resolves to the nation represented by the player who finishes as the top goalscorer across all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the nation represented by the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nationality of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$170K Vol.
Closes Aug 20, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$170.3k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$170K Vol.
France
22% market probability
22%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 22%
+78 / −22
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 78%
+22 / −78
Spain
12% market probability
12%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 88%
+12 / −88
Explain your Yes on Spain
Explain your No on Spain
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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England
12% market probability
12%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 88%
+12 / −88
Explain your Yes on England
Explain your No on England
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Brazil
12% market probability
12%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 88%
+12 / −88
Explain your Yes on Brazil
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Argentina
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on Argentina
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Norway
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on Norway
Explain your No on Norway
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Germany
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Germany
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Portugal
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Portugal
Explain your No on Portugal
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Netherlands
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Netherlands
Explain your No on Netherlands
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Belgium
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Belgium
Explain your No on Belgium
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Colombia
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Colombia
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Morocco
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Morocco
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Switzerland
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Switzerland
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Croatia
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Croatia
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sweden
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Sweden
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Mexico
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Mexico
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Uruguay
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Uruguay
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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USA
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on USA
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Japan
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Japan
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Turkiye
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Turkiye
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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South Korea
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on South Korea
Explain your No on South Korea
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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DR Congo
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on DR Congo
Explain your No on DR Congo
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Egypt
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Egypt
Explain your No on Egypt
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Canada
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Canada
Explain your No on Canada
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Austria
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Austria
Explain your No on Austria
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Senegal
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Senegal
Explain your No on Senegal
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Scotland
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Scotland
Explain your No on Scotland
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ecuador
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Ecuador
Explain your No on Ecuador
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ghana
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Ghana
Explain your No on Ghana
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Algeria
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Algeria
Explain your No on Algeria
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Australia
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Australia
Explain your No on Australia
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ivory Coast
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Ivory Coast
Explain your No on Ivory Coast
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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New Zealand
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on New Zealand
Explain your No on New Zealand
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Bosnia and Herzegovina
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Bosnia and Herzegovina
Explain your No on Bosnia and Herzegovina
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Iran
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Iran
Explain your No on Iran
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Czechia
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-35']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-35']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Czechia
Explain your No on Czechia
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Tunisia
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-36']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-36']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Tunisia
Explain your No on Tunisia
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Saudi Arabia
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-37']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-37']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Saudi Arabia
Explain your No on Saudi Arabia
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Iraq
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-38']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-38']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Iraq
Explain your No on Iraq
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Haiti
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-39']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-39']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Haiti
Explain your No on Haiti
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Qatar
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-40']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-40']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Qatar
Explain your No on Qatar
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jordan
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-41']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-41']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Jordan
Explain your No on Jordan
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Panama
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-42']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-42']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Panama
Explain your No on Panama
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Curacao
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-43']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-43']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Curacao
Explain your No on Curacao
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Paraguay
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-44']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-44']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Paraguay
Explain your No on Paraguay
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Cape Verde
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-45']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-45']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Cape Verde
Explain your No on Cape Verde
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Uzbekistan
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-46']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-46']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Uzbekistan
Explain your No on Uzbekistan
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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South Africa
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-47']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-47']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on South Africa
Explain your No on South Africa
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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