Open
Sports
Polymarket
F1 Drivers' Champion
Top outcomes
Kimi Antonelli
67%
George Russell
17%
Lewis Hamilton
3%
Max Verstappen
3%
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
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$171.6M Vol.
Closes Dec 6, 2026
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$171.6m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$171.6M Vol.
Kimi Antonelli
67% market probability
67%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 67%
+33 / −67
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 33%
+67 / −33
George Russell
17% market probability
17%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 17%
+83 / −17
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 83%
+17 / −83
Explain your Yes on George Russell
Explain your No on George Russell
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lewis Hamilton
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Lewis Hamilton
Explain your No on Lewis Hamilton
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Max Verstappen
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Max Verstappen
Explain your No on Max Verstappen
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Charles Leclerc
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Charles Leclerc
Explain your No on Charles Leclerc
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lando Norris
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Lando Norris
Explain your No on Lando Norris
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Oscar Piastri
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Oscar Piastri
Explain your No on Oscar Piastri
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Isack Hadjar
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Isack Hadjar
Explain your No on Isack Hadjar
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lance Stroll
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Lance Stroll
Explain your No on Lance Stroll
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sergio Pérez
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Sergio Pérez
Explain your No on Sergio Pérez
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Alexander Albon
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Alexander Albon
Explain your No on Alexander Albon
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Fernando Alonso
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Fernando Alonso
Explain your No on Fernando Alonso
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Franco Colapinto
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Franco Colapinto
Explain your No on Franco Colapinto
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Liam Lawson
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Liam Lawson
Explain your No on Liam Lawson
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Esteban Ocon
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Esteban Ocon
Explain your No on Esteban Ocon
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Pierre Gasly
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Pierre Gasly
Explain your No on Pierre Gasly
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Arvid Lindblad
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Arvid Lindblad
Explain your No on Arvid Lindblad
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Oliver Bearman
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Oliver Bearman
Explain your No on Oliver Bearman
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Valtteri Bottas
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Valtteri Bottas
Explain your No on Valtteri Bottas
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Carlos Sainz Jr.
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Carlos Sainz Jr.
Explain your No on Carlos Sainz Jr.
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Nico Hülkenberg
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Nico Hülkenberg
Explain your No on Nico Hülkenberg
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Gabriel Bortoleto
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Gabriel Bortoleto
Explain your No on Gabriel Bortoleto
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Public forecast history
All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.
EF
@fedenappa
·
1 week, 2 days ago
Verified record
Forecast
Charles Leclerc
· Polymarket 4%
· +96 /−4
-1 rep if exited now
Liked by TheBagHodler
Pending
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The_Real_MB
@The_Real_MB
·
2 weeks ago
Verified record
Forecast
Kimi Antonelli
· Polymarket 53%
· +47 /−53
+14 rep if exited now
Liked by TheBagHodler
Pending
Discussion
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Forecast
Kimi Antonelli
· Polymarket 51%
· +49 /−51
XYC
+16 rep if exited now
Pending
Discussion
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