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Who will attend US-Iran signing ceremony?

Top outcomes

Steve Witkoff 16%
JD Vance 15%
Jared Kushner 14%
Shehbaz Sharif 13%

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location. Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event. If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

$752K Vol. Closes Jul 7, 2026

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$752.2k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$752K Vol.

Steve Witkoff

16% market probability

16%

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0 / 2,000

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JD Vance

15% market probability

15%

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0 / 2,000

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Jared Kushner

14% market probability

14%

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0 / 2,000

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Shehbaz Sharif

13% market probability

13%

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0 / 2,000

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Abbas Araghchi

12% market probability

12%

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0 / 2,000

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Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa

6% market probability

6%

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0 / 2,000

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Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Masoud Pezeshkian

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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Abdel Fattah el-Sisi

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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Mohammed bin Salman

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Recep Tayyip Erdogan

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Donald Trump

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Benjamin Netanyahu

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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King Abdullah II

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Marco Rubio

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Pete Hegseth

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Elon Musk

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Mojtaba Khamenei

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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