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Russia nuclear test by...? Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? World Cup: Golden Boot Winner María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...? Starmer out by...? Iran leadership change by...? What will SpaceX's public ticker be? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Next French Presidential Election Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? California Governor Election Winner US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? MLB: 2026 American League Champion Bitcoin all time high by ___? Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Where will Tyreek Hill play in 2026? Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Israel closes its airspace by...?
Open Polymarket

Who will attend the NATO Summit?

Top outcomes

Marco Rubio 92%
Donald Trump 88%
JD Vance 8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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$102K Vol. Closes Jul 8, 2026

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$102K Vol.

Marco Rubio

92% market probability

92%

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Donald Trump

88% market probability

88%

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JD Vance

8% market probability

8%

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