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Polymarket
What will Trump say this week? (July 20 - July 26)
Top outcomes
Egg
100%
Fraud
100%
Rigged
100%
TikTok
100%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between July 20, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
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$36K Vol.
Closes Jul 26, 2026
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$36.0k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$36K Vol.
Egg
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Fraud
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Fraud
Explain your No on Fraud
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Rigged
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Rigged
Explain your No on Rigged
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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TikTok
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on TikTok
Explain your No on TikTok
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Melania
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Melania
Explain your No on Melania
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ballroom
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Ballroom
Explain your No on Ballroom
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Champion
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Champion
Explain your No on Champion
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Windmill
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Windmill
Explain your No on Windmill
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Landslide
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Landslide
Explain your No on Landslide
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sleepy Joe
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Sleepy Joe
Explain your No on Sleepy Joe
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Transgender
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Transgender
Explain your No on Transgender
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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President Xi
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on President Xi
Explain your No on President Xi
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Trump Account
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Trump Account
Explain your No on Trump Account
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Bibi / Netanyahu
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Bibi / Netanyahu
Explain your No on Bibi / Netanyahu
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Crypto / Bitcoin
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Crypto / Bitcoin
Explain your No on Crypto / Bitcoin
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Gianni / Infantino
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Gianni / Infantino
Explain your No on Gianni / Infantino
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Karoline / Leavitt
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Karoline / Leavitt
Explain your No on Karoline / Leavitt
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Barack Hussein Obama
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Barack Hussein Obama
Explain your No on Barack Hussein Obama
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis
Explain your No on Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ukraine
52% market probability
52%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 52%
+48 / −52
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 48%
+52 / −48
Explain your Yes on Ukraine
Explain your No on Ukraine
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Uranium
40% market probability
40%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 40%
+60 / −40
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 60%
+40 / −60
Explain your Yes on Uranium
Explain your No on Uranium
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Cuba / Cuban
12% market probability
12%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 88%
+12 / −88
Explain your Yes on Cuba / Cuban
Explain your No on Cuba / Cuban
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Golden Dome
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on Golden Dome
Explain your No on Golden Dome
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Spain
9% market probability
9%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 9%
+91 / −9
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 91%
+9 / −91
Explain your Yes on Spain
Explain your No on Spain
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Autopen / Auto Pen
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Autopen / Auto Pen
Explain your No on Autopen / Auto Pen
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Stupid Question
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Stupid Question
Explain your No on Stupid Question
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Epstein
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on Epstein
Explain your No on Epstein
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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American Flag Blue
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on American Flag Blue
Explain your No on American Flag Blue
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Messi
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Messi
Explain your No on Messi
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ronaldo
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Ronaldo
Explain your No on Ronaldo
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Six Seven
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Six Seven
Explain your No on Six Seven
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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